Stock Market

S&P Forecast

S&P 500 Forecast 2021

If you’d invested money in S&P 500 stocks last spring, you would have almost doubled your ROI.  S&P is regarded as the “real stock market” by many investors. It hit its all time high last week, and will likely see similar growth next week and through 2021.

For newbie self-directed investors, enjoy the description of the index and introduction to its stocks below. You’re looking for the best performing S&P 500 stocks to invest in and you’ll find them here too. In fact, you’ll discover that certain stocks on the S&P 600 are actually outperformers.

Some forecast modellers actually have the S&P 500 index potentially hitting 6,000. One expert whom most people ridiculed two years ago said it would hit the unrealistic price of 3500. Well it’s passed 4,162 in after hours futures trading tonight. Bears and short sellers are suffering so far in 2021.

The S&P 500 forecast mirrors the Dow Jones forecast. If you’re looking for a faster upside, check out the S&P 600 stocks below, and review the Russell 2000 forecast of small caps which might be more rewarding. If you’re  concerned about a bubble and stock market crash ahead, then read up on hedging strategy.

This old forecast was pretty accurate: “Goldman is expecting the S&P 500 to end the year at 4,300, implying a 13% increase from current levels and a new all-time high. The median S&P 500 forecast from a Bloomberg survey is 4,100 versus the index’s current level of 3,850” — from Bloomberg Report.

Wages always lag inflation so that’s a positive for business input costs. The big knock is that companies get wasteful and that consumption slows over time. And of course, inflation is followed by crisis, which is followed by higher interest rates and government meddling, and then finally a stock market crash. Not a good chain of events overall for investors, unless you have lots of funds are hoping for a big crash or correction and “buy the dip.”

2021 is going to be good for the S&P 500. When the vaccines take full effect, the economy will grow. GDP estimates are above 7%. There is huge pent up demand and most Americans have money to spend.

Currently, many investors have been ploughing money into Cryptocurrency and Tesla/EVS. Those are decidedly risky and volatile.

S&P 500 Dow Jones Russell Nasdaq Comparison last 6 months. Screenshot Courtesy of Yahoo Finance.

The S&P, DOW have shown moderate volatility and similar returns while the NASDAQ has suffered much more ups and downs, which might appeal to day stock traders.   Investors are uncertain right now and are reviewing forecasts and predictions for today, next week, next month and 6 months.

S&P Sector Performance Last Year

Chart courtesy of novelinvestor.com.

Here’s TradingView’s latest quote on the S&P sectors. IT (and the NASDAQ), Consumer discretionaries, and consumer staples are down again this week, presumably because of weak stimulus news and rising Covid 19 variant infections in many states.

S&P sectors today
S&P sectors today. Screenshot courtesy of TradingView.

Top Performing S&P Stocks

Data courtesy of Barchart.com. If the S&P 500 sectors are lagging, it doesn’t mean there aren’t star stocks to buy. Yes, the banks are reporting excellent earnings and the stock markets are rising so firms such as Morgan Stanley, Charles Schwab, Bank of New York Mellon,

Stock Symbol Name Stock Price price Rise %Chg in Price Trading High Trading Low
ALB Albemarle Corp 157.5 5.47 0.036 159.76 154.79
MS Morgan Stanley 80.03 1.44 0.0183 80.37 78.11
SCHW The Charles Schwab Corp 65.88 1.14 0.0176 66.62 64.92
BK Bank of New York Mellon Corporation 46.81 0.74 0.0161 46.93 46.13
APA Apa Corp 18.07 0.27 0.0155 18.39 17.78
JKHY Jack Henry & Associates 161.15 2.31 0.0145 161.47 158.68
NFLX Netflix Inc 554.44 7.9 0.0145 556.44 545.53
PSA Public Storage 270.38 3.58 0.0134 270.52 265.59
IR Ingersoll Rand Inc 50.91 0.67 0.0133 50.96 50.01
ILMN Illumina Inc 404.18 5.18 0.013 405.25 393.35
EQIX Equinix Inc 717.29 9.15 0.0129 719.63 706.05
DLR Digital Realty Trust 147.76 1.8 0.0123 147.98 145.4
IRM Iron Mountain Inc 38.48 0.44 0.0116 38.59 37.93
VNO Vornado Realty Trust 45.47 0.51 0.0113 45.61 44.44
EOG Eog Resources 71.29 0.78 0.0111 72.1 70.01
TSCO Tractor Supply Company 183.08 2 0.011 184.49 180.12
ALXN Alexion Pharm Inc 165.47 1.79 0.0109 165.95 164.51
ANTM Anthem Inc 379.66 4.04 0.0108 379.84 374.46
HUM Humana Inc 439.92 4.64 0.0107 441.53 434.21
PKI Perkinelmer 134.59 1.43 0.0107 135.17 132.25
WRB W.R. Berkley Corp 80.76 0.85 0.0106 80.77 79.55
PBCT People’s United Finl 18.04 0.18 0.0101 18.12 17.75
TAP Molson Coors Brewing Company 54.01 0.54 0.0101 54.15 52.92
WU Western Union Company 26.15 0.26 0.01 26.24 25.88
EXPE Expedia Group Inc 175.62 1.71 0.0098 177.88 172.06
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill 1,550.01 14.97 0.0098 1,560.83 1,523.35
MRO Marathon Oil Corp 10.63 0.1 0.0095 10.77 10.42
WST West Pharmaceutical Services 316.79 2.96 0.0094 317.19 311.77
PFE Pfizer Inc 38.93 0.36 0.0093 38.96 38.33
EXR Extra Space Storage Inc 143.93 1.32 0.0093 144.12 141.93
HII Huntington Ingalls Industries 210 1.94 0.0093 210.74 205.84
WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance 53.79 0.49 0.0092 53.9 52.81
SLB Schlumberger N.V. 26.53 0.24 0.0091 26.77 26.25
TXT Textron Inc 59.06 0.52 0.0089 60 58.45
KR Kroger Company 37.43 0.32 0.0086 37.68 36.92
NLOK Nortonlifelock Inc 21.8 0.18 0.0083 21.81 21.49
PPG PPG Industries 168.78 1.37 0.0082 169.94 165.9
CAG Conagra Brands Inc 37.85 0.3 0.008 37.92 37.41
DRE Duke Realty Corp 44.83 0.35 0.0079 44.85 44.23
DPZ Domino’s Pizza Inc 397.96 3.13 0.0079 399.39 393.58

Safe Investing in the S&P 100

Companies listed in the S&P 100 such as Pfizer, Walgreens, Coca Cola, Apple, Pepsi, Chevron and GE look pretty good for 2021. Check them out further on Barchart.com and for more on the S&P 100 forecast.

Introducing the S&P 600


This chart below reveals the S&P 600 has performed the best. Find out which S&P 600 stocks have been pushing its price performance in the last 6 months.

Here are the best performers of the S&P 600 stocks. Gamestop was rumored to be issuing new stock, but you may want to pass on that one.  Find out more on Barchart.com or Yahoo Finance. Outdoor equipment, energy, materials, beverages seem to be strong of late (heading into the summer recovery?).

Best S&P 600 Stocks. Screenshot courtesy of Barchart.com

 

With the economy revving up soon, Trillion dollar stimulus money pouring into the economy, we could see the S&P hit

The sentiment is risk-on with more investors showing interest towards cyclical stocks while a positive vaccination drive and better macro numbers are hinting towards a better growth environment,” said Keith Buchanan, portfolio manager at Globalt in Atlanta.  from Reuters news release today.

What is the S&P 500?

What is the S&P index?  The S&P 500 or Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, is a weighted index of the 500 largest U.S. publicly traded companies (large-cap U.S. equities). The index has a 69.0% trailing 1-year total return. It’s a measure of how well the top US corporation s are doing. It can be contrasted with the Russell Index which is a measure of small to medium-sized companies. The Russell Index has actually performed well in 2020, and warrants a good look for investing.  Check the Dow forecast and the NASDAQ Forecast too.

Stocks in the S&P 500 include Google Alphabet, Amazon, American Airlines, Facebook, Apple, McDonalds, NASDAQ, Nike, Delta Airlines, Sherwin Williams, Netflix and other high valuation companies. Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix and Google — the FAANG stocks — now make up more than 11% of the S&P 500 index.

The S&P delisted Facebook as an ethical company, and we wonder if Google is next, having been convicted in Europe of anti-trust violations, and preparing to defend a US FTC investigation.

Best Consumer  Discretionary Stocks

Best S&P Sectors This Year

Screenshot courtesy of Barcharts.com

S&P 500 Forecast 2021, 2022, 2023

S&P 500 Forecast. Screenshot courtesy of Yardeni.com

Take a further look at the US Economic forecast, housing market forecast, oil price forecast and look ahead with an open mind at the next Presidential election. Some experts say a new China/US trade deal would be positive for S&P index companies.

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