US Economic Outlook Economic Predictions: Strong Growth, Rising Risks and Opportunities Ahead Updated November 5, 2026 The U.S. economy has performed surprisingly well in 2026, but beneath the encouraging growth statistics, there are signs of financial stress that could reshape the outlook for 2027. Perhaps foremost in any concerns for the outlook is the Democrat…
Why Do Canadians Vote for the Liberal Party? When I asked ChatGPT to help me research the preferences of Liberal voters across Canada, it initially did provide the generalized, left-filtered, excuse-laden explanation you might expect. AI search engines do lean left. Yet with AI search engines, it’s a matter of pressing them, forcing them to…
Canadians in a Sour Mood about 2026 It’s truly sad that an amazing country with so much potential is suffering in the throes of yet another recession, with a majority of its citizens expressing fear about the future. Surveys from Abacus Data and MNP show Canadians are feeling gloomy. MNP with its just released survey…
What Are We Learning About Employment Today? A new report from consulting firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas revealed US employers announced more than 1.1 million layoffs so far in 2025. That’s the most since during COVID pandemic in 2020. And perhaps surprisingly, it’s the tech sector that’s seeing the greatest carnage. CGC reports that technology companies…
Why Norwegians Are Rich and Canadians Aren’t — and how the Liberal Era Has Stolen Our Future Building a renewed Pro-Canadian Strategy for National Wealth, National Identity, and a Positive, New Economic Direction (Political commentary) Canada should be one of the richest countries in the world and each citizen should be enjoying the vast national/provincial…
Market Stumbles on Poor Jobs Data The week of November 3rd to 7th looks like it will be one of the worst since April. Not enough for alarms, but this sag since Oct 30th is beginning to weigh on investors, who yesterday were rattled by the latest jobs report. Yesterday, the Dow Jones fell 0.84%,…
Housing as Canada’s Best Path to Growth and Affordability The Canadian economy is beginning to slouch significantly and the Liberal government appears to lack any solutions to save it from further harm. It’s a depressing scenario for all Canadians including those looking for a place to live, or a home to buy, or who need…
Toronto Housing Market Bubble Despite falling home prices in August, Toronto home buyers have that sinking feeling that accompanies a recession. As covered in the Toronto housing market report, sellers are listing their prices. They want their dream price, but as the market slides many of them are starting to give in and entertain some…
A Glorious Day for Investors Markets rocketed with the Dow hitting an all-time high at 45,737 as J. Powell suggested a coming lowering of the FED rate. It doesn’t matter what he said, as investors only look for signals of the trend and when it will happen. At Friday’s closing bell, the Dow Jones rose…
Trump and the Canadian Tariffs Now in August 2025, amidst President Trump’s 35% non-CUSMA tariffs on Canadian exports to the US, the country’s economy is getting closer to a precipice. Canada still has its CUSMA deal but it’s coming to its conclusion next year. This month, flows across the border will slow with Canadian exporters…
Is Canada Headed for a National Breakup? Americans and Europeans should understand that Canada is in trouble politically and economically. This is not just the recent economic debacle brought forth by the Trump Republicans and tariffs on Canada. Trump’s pressure on Canada is simply unearthing the resentment toward the Canadian Federal Government for almost 50…
U.S. Equity Market Outlook H2 2025 Now past the mid-point of the year with market signals flashing green, investors are very excited about the last half of 2025. The long-term bull market is on, and investors are feeling there’s not much to dislike about the road ahead. The Trump recovery seems to trample any negativity…
It’s a Good Time to Be American, But Not Canadian Talk about being between a rock and a hard place, Canadians are finding themselves stuck between two politically opposite politicians. If it continues, the country could fail. Tomorrow, we’ll see how the US stock market reacts to the passing of the One Big Beautiful Bill,…
Sharp V-Shaped Recovery for US Markets How are you playing this V-shaped recovery in the stock market? Are you all in on stocks despite potential negatives that might create a small correction? Both veteran market forecasters Tom Lee of Fundstrat and Mike Wilson of Morgan Stanley are talking about nerve-wracking v-shaped recovery for the stock…
Alberta Separation from Canada? The G7 meeting held in the too majestic surrounds of the Rocky Mountains of Alberta in hindsight, achieved very little for members and for Canada itself. It was a photo op event, that the media used to try to skew perceptions Americans, Brits, Australians, French, Spanish, Germans, and Asian readers rather…
🍁Canada’s Brain Drain Rocketing Canadians choosing to move to the US and work there is nothing new. For decades, the exodus has been strong, except for the last decade where it declined. But starting in 2022, there was a notable jump in emigrations to the US. Canada’s CBC news network ran a report using US…
China Tariffs There’s a lot of interest in the impact of the US reciprocal tariffs of 125% on China. If you’re reading this from China, it’s not a rosy outlook for your country. And the tariff is just one reason. Unfortunately, the massive trade deficit with China and other nations has left the US with…
When Will the Stock Market Recover? The recent plunge of stock prices on US exchanges has wiped out trillions of dollars of value gained in the last year. Prices were back to levels of April of 2024 and could fall further. Many were asking, when will the stock market recover. And this afternoon, we got…
China’s Biggest Stock Market Loss Since the 2007 Crash As you’ll note here, China has a lot of experience dealing with market crashes. Some of the setbacks they’ve endured were astonishingly bad. The communist party found a way, but in those cases, it was exports that saved them. This time, export revenue won’t be available…
Will the Stock Market Crash? It’s been a spectacular bull run for the S&P, Dow Jones, NASDAQ for the last 5 years and more, but will the markets give it all back. Is the global tariff battle going to crash the US, European and Asian stock markets. Today, April 7th, most of these exchanges/indexes started…
The US Gargantuan Trade Deficit with the World International Trade has been heralded as the greatest thing all the way back to the 1970s. The claim was based on the premise that nations would exchange goods and services they were able to make, and that countries wouldn’t be taken advantage of or run big deficits…
The Great American Reset As you might know the stock market and the price of oil are rocketing downward and the Dem media are trying to create an uproar on the job loss fears. The fervor is more about political points gained than in compassion for Americans. As the Dow, S&P, NASDAQ and Russell indexes…
Europe on the Brink of Economic Disaster After President Trump announced its sweeping tariffs on imports into the US, Europe has suffered paroxysms of fear and doubt about its continued existence. While the EU is justifiably unhappy about the new tariffs of 20% on the EU, they should recognize that it could be much worse….
Trump’s Liberation Day: Launching US Business The world isn’t so pleased with Donald Trump since taking office, but Americans are about to enjoy a very prosperous period. Today’s event announced 50% reciprocal tariffs on nations that tariff the US. The event was a huge success for him politically given he not only announced protective tariffs…
Small Business Outlook 2025 According to the US Chamber of Commerce, 33 million small companies in the USA employ nearly half of the American workforce and represent 43.5% of America’s GDP. They’re a major economic force, hampered in the last ten years via free trade, high interest rates, and high taxes — government-induced setbacks. Times…
Is President Trump Trying to Crash the Stock Market? 🎢The themed wild roller coaster ride called Mr. Trump’s Wild Tariff Ride is providing lots of thrills and spills for the globe. I wonder if Disney or 6 Flags are designing a roller coaster in his honor, perhaps one that stops and goes backward? In the…
Trump Tariffs Spoiling Investor’s Party It wasn’t so long ago that stock market investors were salivating at the launch of the Trump pro-US era with its promise of low taxation, de-regulation, less government interference, US manufacturing support, lower interest rates, and maybe even lower inflation and interest rates. If it didn’t sound too good to…
The Battle with Trump Can Free Canada Up for a Better Future Canada has largely failed to develop its international export capability. It’s missed out on an opportunity to ease an unhealthy dependence on one nation — The United States. It’s the perfect time to launch a new international trade program and get over our…
The FED vs US Business Sometimes when politicians lack imagination, expertise and confidence, they’ll look to inferior policies to solve vexing economic problems. Or they may have ulterior motives — political. As we know from the size of the national debt, debt interest payments, and trade deficits, US politicians make really poor choices. Overspending is…
US Travel Market to Return to Record Levels As a Canadian, I still find the US the most compelling place to visit. Even up against the splendor of the Alps, Spanish Beaches, France architecture and history, the azure Mediterranean Sea, and mysterious Asia, the US is comfortable, fun and accessible. Now in the midst of…
US Economic and Stock Market Surge The 2024 stock market bull run is set to run faster and higher beginning next spring and extending for the next 5 years under the now-forming government of President Trump. After the initial irrational exuberance, markets are a little flat this week as investors take some profits, and ponder…
Is the US Headed for a Recession? Recession Watch 2024: It’s time to revisit the matter of the recession threat. There are plenty of factors that might conspired to send the stock market, housing market and whole economy spiraling downward to rough landing. Yes, you’re wondering about the possibility as many others are. The general…
Breaking Up With China With a multi-decade, institutionalized export of money and technology, the US is long overdue for a return to freedom and repatriation of its own burgeoning economy. The reshoring of US manufacturing from China and the protection of valuable technology will boost US GDP, reward investment in the US, increase job growth,…
The Trump Economic Boom 2025 The resignation of Joe Biden and the refusal of Barack Obama to endorse Kamala Harris, has sent the Democrat Party into turmoil and conflict. The infighting is only beginning as hopefuls try to capture attention and support ahead of their convention. The disarray of the failing party seems to be…
2025’s Inflation Will Stay Low Politicians and the media tell us “it’s all about inflation” and that they’ve got the ultimate remedy. It may be their call for us to give up on an economic recovery, rely on debt spending, and accept a persistent, unpleasant fate. That’s not the fix or result Americans are wanting….
The 2025 Economic Recovery A massive change in politics is happening in Europe and North America and it’s likely to end the damaging economic policies of far left anti-business factions. In the US, Joe Biden’s small minded policies have crushed the dreams of most small businesses. They’ve suffered a never ending nightmare of taxes, inflation,…
The US Needs Lower Interest Rates Now The current situation for the economy and the stock market is one of worry or fear over the US FED damaging the economy and ruining current investments and future business investment. The FED was late reacting to inflation which the US government created. Now it’s overshooting with smiles…
6 Month Forecast for the Economy The outlook for the next six months for the stock market and the economy will require some patience as the FED attempts to dissipate the spending excess of the US government. Inflation may not go away any time soon as demand from consumers persists and the job market stays…
US Government Shutdown The theatrics of negotiations between Democrats and Republicans over excessive spending continue at the White House this weekend. A coalition between House speaker and McCarthy (who speaks about himself in press sessions) and the Democrats reached a short-term measure to keep the US government open as did the more recent one with…
Why a US Recession Won’t be in the Cards for 2024 The equity markets took a dive Wednesday on expectations of bad news. Yes, not on bad news, but the expectation of bad news. At least someone’s expectation. So much for the technical analysis everyone’s publishing right now. There seems to be a little conspiracy…
Growing Market Supply is the Economic Boost we Need The United States economic output and spending volume isn’t impacting the world like it did in the past. And you can’t spend your way out of a recession. That’s been proven. Instead, only supply side growth economics can generate the turnaround desired for the US economy….
A Democrat Defeat Could Help Avoid a Recession Right now the talk is all about a recession and many see it as inevitable with no means of prevention. Even Larry Summers has raised his forecast for a recession to a gloomy 100%. These people have fully bought into the idea that the economy follows the…
Will Taxing The Rich Stifle Investment in the USA? President Biden and the Democrats are pushing ahead with another facet of their agenda, that of taxing the super wealthy. Well, what could possibly go wrong with that? While few Americans oppose the general intent of taxing the rich, it has to be asked whether this…
Unemployment Rate in the United States The Covid 19 pandemic interrupted a very positive reduction in the unemployment rate in the United states. 8 years of strong growth during the bull market stock market was crippled by the shutdowns. Now in late 2021, the economic recovery is beginning to deliver stronger job growth (4.8% unemployment…
China Economic Predictions It’s a challenge to describe the Chinese economy given it is a capitalist market built on top of a communist system. The country is now at a cross roads and must decide whether it can handle a free, open relationship with the rest of the world. Today’s topic is China’s effect on…
Where is Canada’s Economy Headed? A new report on Canadian GDP has more people taking a closer look at the Canadian economy and perhaps reconsidering how they’ll vote in this coming snap Federal election. StatsCan says Canada’s GDP shrank 1.1% in the 2nd quarter of 2021 and has dropped by .4% in July. According to…
Small Business Need their Own Trillion Dollar Stimulus A recent video by Jim Cramer says a lot about the economy and stock investment. What we’re gauging everyday is primarily big corporation earnings and outlooks. This is blue chips and large caps of all kinds, but mostly the top 30 to 100 companies in capitalization and sales…
Is the Post Pandemic Economic Recovery Underway? As we approach June, the final month of the 2nd quarter, is it too early to speak about the economic recovery? The optimism of the stock market could help encourage more companies to resume business and for more employees to earn a pay check again. Earning a pay…
US Economic Forecast Part 2 (Continued from Part 1) China’s manufacturing sector has been declining, particularly of late. The communist led country is suffering the worst economic forecast of the last 50 years. China’s in more trouble than anyone will admit even if they print more money to alleviate the losses. China’s propaganda mills are…