6 Month Forecast for the Economy The outlook for the next six months for the stock market and the economy will require some patience as the FED attempts to dissipate the spending excess of the US government. Inflation may not go away any time soon as demand from consumers persists and the job market stays…
US Government Shutdown The theatrics of negotiations between Democrats and Republicans over excessive spending continue at the White House this weekend. A coalition between House speaker and McCarthy (who speaks about himself in press sessions) and the Democrats reached a short-term measure to keep the US government open as did the more recent one with…
Breaking Up With China With a multi-decade, institutionalized export of money and technology, the US is long overdue for a return to freedom for its own burgeoning economy. The reshoring of US manufacturing and the protection of valuable technology will boost US GDP, reward investment in the US, increase job growth, and raise the standard…
Why a US Recession Won’t be in the Cards for 2024 The equity markets took a dive Wednesday on expectations of bad news. Yes, not on bad news, but the expectation of bad news. At least someone’s expectation. So much for the technical analysis everyone’s publishing right now. There seems to be a little conspiracy…
Growing Market Supply is the Economic Boost we Need The United States economic output and spending volume isn’t impacting the world like it did in the past. And you can’t spend your way out of a recession. That’s been proven. Instead, only supply side growth economics can generate the turnaround desired for the US economy….
US Economy Outlook 2024 Are we to believe the weak GDP and economic forecasts for 2023? And how about 2024? The reason forecasts and predictions miss so often, is that forecasters don’t consider politics and news media manipulation. The macroeconomic outlook is colored by politics — China, Saudis and Biden. Know one talked about the…
Is the US Headed for a Recession? Recession Watch 2023: Is the possibility of a recession next year just negative thinking or is it clear thinking? Many don’t want to consider the unthinkable, yet we know what the signals are and how we’ll respond. Increasingly, the prediction of a recession is reaching full consensus with…
US Inflation Jumps 9.1% in June Despite the recent series of increases in the Fed interest rate, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has reported US inflation soared 9.1% in June, the highest rate since 1998. The new rate is also up a whopping 1.3% since May making us believe that July’s rate might be even…
A Democrat Defeat Could Help Avoid a Recession Right now the talk is all about a recession and many see it as inevitable with no means of prevention. Even Larry Summers has raised his forecast for a recession to a gloomy 100%. These people have fully bought into the idea that the economy follows the…
Will Taxing The Rich Stifle Investment in the USA? President Biden and the Democrats are pushing ahead with another facet of their agenda, that of taxing the super wealthy. Well, what could possibly go wrong with that? While few Americans oppose the general intent of taxing the rich, it has to be asked whether this…
Unemployment Rate in the United States The Covid 19 pandemic interrupted a very positive reduction in the unemployment rate in the United states. 8 years of strong growth during the bull market stock market was crippled by the shutdowns. Now in late 2021, the economic recovery is beginning to deliver stronger job growth (4.8% unemployment…
China Economic Predictions It’s a challenge to describe the Chinese economy given it is a capitalist market built on top of a communist system. The country is now at a cross roads and must decide whether it can handle a free, open relationship with the rest of the world. Today’s topic is China’s effect on…
Where is Canada’s Economy Headed? A new report on Canadian GDP has more people taking a closer look at the Canadian economy and perhaps reconsidering how they’ll vote in this coming snap Federal election. StatsCan says Canada’s GDP shrank 1.1% in the 2nd quarter of 2021 and has dropped by .4% in July. According to…
Google Anti-Trust Charges Soon? The US department of justice continues to research and push forward on anti-trust investigation. It’s been delayed by the Corona Virus pandemic, yet the DOJ would be prepared to lay charges against Google Alphabet this fall. Google’s stock price dropped about 3% on the news, but the DOJ’s determination could result…
Small Business Need their Own Trillion Dollar Stimulus A recent video by Jim Cramer says a lot about the economy and stock investment. What we’re gauging everyday is primarily big corporation earnings and outlooks. This is blue chips and large caps of all kinds, but mostly the top 30 to 100 companies in capitalization and sales…
Is the Post Pandemic Economic Recovery Underway? As we approach June, the final month of the 2nd quarter, is it too early to speak about the economic recovery? The optimism of the stock market could help encourage more companies to resume business and for more employees to earn a pay check again. Earning a pay…
US Economic Forecast Part 2 (Continued from Part 1) China’s manufacturing sector has been declining, particularly of late. The communist led country is suffering the worst economic forecast of the last 50 years. China’s in more trouble than anyone will admit even if they print more money to alleviate the losses. China’s propaganda mills are…