Toronto Real Estate Forecast 2018 – 2019

Toronto Real Estate Market Forecast/Predictions 2018

April 5, 2018.  The February TREB report isn’t hugely informative, however it does reiterate the downward housing market in Toronto.  The Toronto housing market shrank 39% in March 2018 compared to March of 2017.

Strangely, home prices rose 2.2% vs February, so are we seeing the beginning of the turnaround?  Hope isn’t enough in a repressive market.  Change is needed and it looks like the factors will align this summer.

Although news reports suggest the market is stabilizing, there doesn’t seem to be a bottom in sight yet for luxury homes. They took a precipitous fall this winter. Those who didn’t sell last spring and fall may have been feeling sick all winter long.

Time to Prepare to Sell Your Home or Condo?

The monthly stats below and trends seem to be predicting this may be the best time to sell your home. I’ve predicted a boom after the election, and if we improve our trade agreement with the US, GTA home prices and the Canadian dollar should jump.




Recent reports have it that the City of Toronto could face a $1.4 billion deficit, due to the loss of the lucrative land transfer taxes. Toronto’s starry eyed spending may have to be reeled in thus adding to a cascading recession threat.

A lot of Toronto home buyers are likely cheering the price falls and this spring might be the lowest price point as we head into provincial elections in 2 months and the settling of the NAFTA trade disagreement. Homeowners may decide to hold onto their homes and wait for prices to return after the upcoming provincial election.

For the march report, TREB focused solely on the YoY losses and it is ramping up its election time rhetoric regarding the responsibility of government to foster a healthy housing market. They also believe sales will pick up this summer (post election) but didn’t offer a spring forecast.

Other than stats which you’ll see below, what are the real issues for the GTA market? TREB suggest interest rates and mortgage rules are disouraging home sales. Yet, condo and apartment sales are still strong.

When will prices bottom out? May, June, or next October?

A Change is Coming for Ontario

The real matter for Toronto prices and sales is psychological because the economy is uncertain. Home prices are trending downward strongly, NAFTA is troubled, world leaders are threatening trade tariffs, and the provincial election is coming.

Ontario’s provincial taxes have become crushing and the Liberals have shown no mercy. You have to be genius if you want to be a successful business person here. Yes we’re aging here in Ontario but there’s incredible intellectual capital that’s being wasted. We’ll see more people leave the province even with a new government.

The death throes of the Wynne government show that the people and the business sector can’t tolerate this behaviour and that a new, fresh attitude toward open markets and small business success must happen. If small business is represented in the NAFTA agreement, it could give Ontario a boost it has never seen before.

As Kathllen Wynne’s MPs give up, the wave for the PCs and Doug Ford grows. Screen cap courtesy of Vice.com and CBC

No one can predict what incoming Premier Doug Ford is going to do. Will he toss the market a parachute, open up development and then delete the repressive taxes? We sure hope so. The results for the economy will make news across the and we’ll go from laughing stock to free market leaders.

After the Storm

During uncertain times, buyers will not stick their neck out to purchase a  high priced home in a market rated as the most likely to crash. And theTSX? It’s been the worst performing stock market in the world for some time now. But that could change.

Home prices in Toronto actually rose, yet prices in Newmarket, Aurora, Richmond Hill, and Bradford declined strongly again.

TREB Outlook

TREB reiterated its belief in the role of housing and real estate sales in its yearly report . TREB suggests the GTA market is a key to economic health in Ontario.

On average, each residential transaction reported through TREB’s MLS® System in the GTA generates $68,275 in spin-off expenditures, … The real estate industry is a key contributor to our economy, with total annual spin-off expenditures close to $7 billion.

They went further to hint that without real estate sales and the taxes it generates, the government will have to get their tax money elsewhere! Voters may not want to hear that and it’s probably something Doug Ford will jump on to put the finishing nails in Kathleen Wynne’s guilded coffin. I’m sure HGTV will want to support the pro-development initiatives??

Wynne has killed the Toronto housing market, tax base, young people’s dreams, and as an election promise, is offering free day care, which the government will have to borrow to pay for. Wynne’s passing will generate a wave of relief which Doug Ford will surf on for many years.  With a few legislative changes, he could relaunch Ontario’s economy and the Toronto real estate sector.

The March 2018 TREB update reveals the damage to what should have been a strong and vital Toronto real estate market.

Screen capture courtesy of TREBhome.com

Toronto Forecast for 2018

What as the Toronto Real Estate forecast for 2018?  A gloomy winter/spring followed by lots of sunshine in June. All we need is the June sunshine and we got it 100% right.

Why so optimistic against all the negative reports coming out? None of them are accounting for the upcoming election in Ontario.  It’s to soon to celebrate but only 2 short months away, and we may see the boom I sort of suggested might happen:)

This chart from TREB shows the market 2 months ago in January. Numbers of house sales rose last month yet cond sales fell.  Notice condo prices are up $43,000 in March vs January. Keep an eye on the Toronto condo market.




The market seems very quiet right now, and as Benjamin Tal, CIBC’s chief economist said, “This is the most significant test the market has seen in recent years.”




Is this the best time to buy a house in Toronto? The answer to that may be yes. Prices may plummet further in February and March only to begin a strong rise in April. Why? The election in 4 months and the NAFTA fears will have abated.

Selling your home in 2018?  Should you sell your home and upgrade to a roomier one? Or perhaps you’ll be downsizing to a condo?  Condo sales boomed in 2017 and you’ll be competing hard for anything under $600k. Your Realtor will likely have to work a sophisticated marketing strategy to help you get your house sold and get you moved into a better one.

Are you a 25 to 35 year old first time buyer and hoping to buy a condo?  Is this the best time to buy a home? See the Toronto condo market forecast for prices and opportunities.




Is it a good time to buy a condo apartment in Toronto? Which are the best neighborhoods to buy one? Check the Toronto condo market page for insight.

If you’re looking solely for home prices, then see the detailed running home price stats for each town and district. This post has a collection of videos, opinion, stats, charts, of historic sales/prices and current stats to help you with the decision of whether to buy or sell.

The most meaningful Toronto housing market prediction: After a short depressed period this spring, there will be a fast growing increase lead by optimism with the new incoming Ontario government in July. The prediction is that the optimism of the new government will keep buyers and sellers optimistic until July.

With immigration high (300k new Canadians each year), migrants from other parts of Canada increasing, birth rates up, and Ontarian’s expectations optimistic, 2018, 2019 and 2020 will see strong demand for most properties. As you can see in the Toronto market stats below, some towns and districts in the GTA have seen very strong price growth.

Share the Toronto Real Estate Market forecast on FB or Linkedin.

Anyone buying or selling should have the best overview of factors.

 

Teranet Home Prices

Teranet released its market report on home prices in Toronto, Vancouver, Calgary and other Canadian cities and predictably we saw the final burst of buying before the stress test rules came into play.




Toronto Real Estate December Report

What happened in December 2017: listings up 50% but sales down despite the last minute stress test frenzy.  New housing starts dropped by 33,000 overall in Ontario in December, after a record amount built in November.  Condo apartments and townhouses are all the rage, due to the almost affordable prices.

This recent chart from TREB shown below, reveals prices are still up year over year.

 

 

Check the running Toronto home prices chart down below. Leave a comment below.

In December, the MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) Composite Benchmark was up by 7.2% over last year, and the overall average selling price was up by 0.7% year over year. — from TREB report.




Check out the Vancouver and Calgary forecasts too as it reflects on Toronto (And Share on Facebook!).




You Can’t be Serious! a Housing Boom in Toronto in 2018/2019? Royal Lepage predicts prices will rise 6.8% or $57,000. Only Las Vegas Nevada is forecast to be higher. With new homes sold and new development halted, supply won’t be sufficient in late 2018 or 2019. Speculators will love that scenario.

Royal Lepage predicts continued price rises even as domestic investors shift to apartments and condos.

Condo Prices Rose 23%

And the danger in the condo market might be the depressing effect of rental controls on new condo builds. As supply dwindles, prices and rents will rise which is positive for condo investors. The average rental price for a 3 bedroom condo in Toronto is now $3461 per month.

Condo prices were up 21% year over year in December.

Detached Home Prices in many Treb districts has plummeted from 18 months. In some cases, prices are down almost 50% as you can see in the charts below.



If the Toronto Real Estate market nosedives in January 2018, it will be interesting to see what impact it has on the Ontario economy as well as the Canadian economic forecast.

While the talk was about rocketing house prices in Toronto, the Toronto condo market is doing okay and the demand for new construction condos is still brisk.

1 Million New Immigrants Will Affect Toronto’s Housing Market Demand

Demand is never ending, in fact PM Justin Trudeau just announced a program to being in 1 million new immigrants over the next 3 years  along with a new national housing program to help with the housing availability crisis which will heat up demand and prices for Toronto apartment rentals.

So while the Ontario and Federal governments play a dangerous game of economic Russian roulette and await their political fate, homebuyers may be finding their homownership dream more distant than ever. It’s certainly not a good time for the homeless in Toront and area with the wicked cold snap coming through.

Will it be crash and burn in Toronto this year? Even the slightest economic slide in Canada could send nasty shockwaves through the housing market. Crashes normally happen after the euphoria period. Despite the government’s negativity toward home development and supply, the market should be good for 2018.

You can view the prices for each city and MLS district below.




TD Bank senior economist Michael Dolega is quoted last month as saying  the market looks good “after some near-term weakness, likely to last into mid-2018, activity should begin to rebound thereafter given the fundamentally supported demand related to strong job growth and strengthening wage dynamics.”

The upcoming mortgage changes in January means buyers are putting rush orders in now. Condos below $500k are selling well and will continue to do in 2018.  The key for Realtors is helping buyers find an affordable condo, or a house with rental income potential.



Rental Income Investment Property

Some smart buyers are looking at financing solutions that give them a shot at rental income. Real estate investors in Toronto, Vancouver and  even Calgary are focused on rental income investment properties. You should be too.

What is the most notable change? It would have to be Toronto condos. Sales dropped by 15% yet condo prices rose by 23% across the GTA.  When the selection of lower priced condos are gone, we’ll see a renewed surge in prices as buyers hunt the luxury market to see what they can get.

Rental prices are skyrocketing as rental apartments dry up because of the rental price controls.  Rents were up 12% more in the 3rd quarter. How much further will Toronto condos climb in price and how long will voters, many of whom are home buyering milennials with nowhere to go, tolerate Wynne and Trudeau?



Are you considering using a HELOC to do a house renovation?  With listings up, you’ll have to have to add some value to get your house sold. An educated Realtor might be a wise hire too.

Bookmark this page as it is updated very frequently.

Normally Toronto house prices slide back during the winter.  That could help solve the afforable housing issue.  Yet the market is 2 tiered – young buyers with limited financing and a rising group of detached houses that are well out of their reach. 2018 should be the year of the condo.  Contrast the Toronto market with the Calgary Housing Forecast for greater investment insight.

November 2017 TREB Market Update with Jason Mercer






Considering buying or selling? Take a look at some of home buying tips and home pricing tips posts and this new post on the best renovations to grow the price of your house for saleFirst Time buyers should remember that house prices always climb even through recessions as you’ll see in the graphics and housing data below.

Some recent reports from Toronto realtors have it that buyers are back in the market this fall, yet there aren’t enough listings. They feel Toronto House prices will rise again. However, buyers are probably gleeful at the drop in house prices over the last 5 months. If it continues, they might be able to find a great buy. The Toronto economy could boom for sometime if NAFTA is unaffected, yet CMHC beleives there are dangers lurking for this market.

New sales data from TREB’s Marketwatch report paints a telling story of what happened in Toronto Real Estate in the summer of 2017 and how 2018/2019 might look.  Buyers and sellers are wondering if the Toronto housing picture will mirror the Vancouver real estate forecast where Vancouver condos are king.  Vancouver seems to have held its own which means the Toronto market might be safe too.  Let’s not kid ourselves. A crash or a housing slide in Toronto remains a possibility (government).

Consider this your most up to date report on the Toronto Real Estate Market – lots of food for thought below. Enjoy the monthly price charts below which may help you decide whether it’s time to sell your house.  Also see the Mississauga real estate forecast if you’re out in Mississauga, Milton, Oakville or Brampton.

Do you know anyone who may be buying or selling?

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New Fed mortgage rules and a higher mortgage rate means buyers will need more money down and be forced to pay higher mortgage payments. The OECD and the World Bank are constantly nattering about Canada’s housing issues. What are they seeing that we don’t?

Most experts are calling for flat prices right through 2018, however there is still a lot of unsold new home inventory and governments are clear in their intent to suppress the housing market. Those considering putting up their houses for sale might be acting much sooner.

When Will You Put up your House for Sale?

Before it was all about finding a house for sale, and now there’s lots of houses for sale. It’s almost certain you’re going to get a much lower price for your GTA house in the next 4 months. As mentioned, the PCs will reconsider how the Liberal’s botched the housing crisis and how they might fix it.

That will change the market psychology. As soon as you and other buyers have somehwere to go, you’ll be putting your home up for sale. If you get prepared this winter and spring, you might hit it right before your neighbors sell theirs.

You’ll want to start reading my how to sell your home tips posts and a little on over asking bidding wars because even right now, multiple offers are still common.

The Toronto situation seems to mirror the US housing forecast only with troublesome government meddling in TO. Experts suggest it is government action that causes the markets to suddenly slide out of control.

Toronto Housing Market Predictions from the Experts

Let’s start off with the Swiss Banks review.

Is BNN’s “end of the housing boom” story valid? Does real estate drive employment in Canada?

CMHC keeps the red flag hoisted on real estate

Trump and squashed Canadian exports represent a big worry.




 

New MLS stats from TREB show sales in August dropped 34.8% year over year and the number of new listings on TREB’s MLS® System, at 11,523 which is  6.7 % lower than last year at his time. This is the fewest listings since 2010.  Prices did decline yet are still higher than August of 2016, and did not decrease evenly in all TREB districts.   




While some areas such as the 905 have seen big drops, (houses are sitting and have to be rented now) areas in Toronto have maintained prices.  These neighbourhoods offer a more reliable bet for sustainable property investment value. Many property investors have discovered the hard way, what the word sustainable means in bottom line dollar terms. Because of demand, two hot areas right now are rental property investment and student housing investment.

Adding to the story this month is a higher loonie, higher mortgage rates, foreign buyer withdrawal, new tax on vacant homes, and homebuyers losing interest. And in response, homeowners make a desperate attempt to sell at lower home prices. 

Condos were the Hot Story in Summer 2017

  • condo average price up over half a million dollars
  • condo prices have risen 28% from second quarter of 2016
  • average condo price in Toronto rose to $566,000
  • condo sales volume dropped 8%
  • number of new listings grew only 1%
  • condos in C09 district rose to an average selling price of $1.345 million
  • Condos in C08 and C01 have the highest volume of unit sales and an average price of $603,000 and $627,000 respectively — high volume translates to more availability and lower prices

The Best Toronto Neighbouhoods are Sound for Investment

TREB stats show specific districts or neighbourhoods in Toronto have not seen a price decline and these ones below have seen price increases:

w10 – Rexdale Kipling, West Humber Claireville, Kingsview Village, Vaughan Grove
w09 – Willowridge Martingrove Richview, Humber Heights
w02 – High Park North, Junction Area, Kingsway South
c02 – Annex, University, Yonge St Clair
c04 – Bedford Park, Nortown, Lawrence Park North, Forest Hill North, Lawrence Park South
c12 – Lawrence Park North, St. Andrew Windfields
c13 – Banbury Don Mills, Parkwoods Donalda, Victoria Village
c15 – Bayview Village, Hillcrest Village, Bayview Woods Steeles, Pleasant View
e01 – South Riverdale, North Riverdale, Danforth, Woodbine Corridor
e06 – Oakride, Clarilea Birchmount, Birchcliffe, Cliffside

Many of these Toronto neighbourhoods are in such strategic locations for employment, that given the housing shortage, urban intensification, poor transit and roadways, that the condos and homes in them will never see a significant price drop. The events of the last 3 months with the Liberal’s fair housing act was an acid test. These Toronto neighbourhoods look to be the best neighbourhoods for safe real estate investment.




US investors should continue to follow the Toronto real estate market as the low Canadian dollar continues to create better real estate investment value.

The Toronto Condo market in July on the other hand is active likely due to affordability. Condos are selling well at 2% to 6% over asking price and comprised 91% of all sales. New apartment and stacked townhouse sales grew 89% year over year, compared to a 72% drop in house sales. 

I suspect 2018 will bring moderation given the rhetoric around the NAFTA deal, tighter lending rules, higher loonie, and very high home prices. 

 

Share the December 2017 Stats and Toronto Forecast with your family and friends on Facebook

Almost everyone is interested in the direction of the housing market. It affects the GTA economy, jobs and business oulook.  This page is updated frequently.

 

A Look Back at 6 Months ago: TREB June 2017 Real Estate Report

Highlights from the June TREB market report at the end of the bubble:

  • Sales dropped 37% year over year, on top of May’s whopping 50% dive
  • residential listings were up 16%
  • Prices rose 6.3%
  • The MLS® HPI composite benchmark price up by 25.3% on a year-over-year basis in June
  • Home prices are down 1.1% month to month
  • apartment prices rose 1% month to month (higher rents)

What’s Compelling about the Toronto Housing Market?

Toronto is a high value housing market similar to New York City or the Bay Area of California, and TO is a city destined to be a super city.  It’s unlikely that a property purchase in Toronto will be a disappointment over the long run. If you see the Toronto home price charts, you’ll notice that prices have climbed in the last 18 months. So buyers have not lost their equity.

And detached house prices will rise much further due to a severe housing shortage, improving economy, and rising population. 

Despite the Ontario government’s new foreign buyers tax threat, demand for housing won’t fall. As the loonie falls in value, Toronto home prices turn out to be reasonable internationally, and may be a worthy investment for rising wealthy Americans. Canadian real estate is still a good alternative to US Real Estate in 2018.

While many buyers would like to live in Central Toronto, Oakville and Milton the prices in these cities is prohibitive. Instead, buyers are looking north to Vaughan, Newmarket, Aurora, Bradford, Barrie, Innisfil, and East Gwillimbury.




Share this detailed monthly home prices report with your friends.



Toronto MLS Real Estate Board Sales Stats for March 2018

Average Toronto Home Price – Detached Homes TREB – March 2018
City March 2018 December 2017 November 2017 October 2017 September 2017 August 2017 April 2016 Price Change Last 23 months Price Change Last 8 Months
Burlington $993,500 $959,071 $871,879 $895,457 $974,446 $944,564 $961,502 3.3% 5.2%
Halton Hills $852,500 $820,904 $790,683 $787,517 $706,500 $984,812 $828,719 2.9% -13.4%
Milton $868,300 $843,688 $841,998 $884,144 $853,790 $866,650 $765,973 13.4% 0.2%
Oakville $1,298,000 $1,356,888 $1,438,656 $1,482,620 $1,393,860 $1,314,363 $1,191,503 8.9% -1.2%
Brampton $796,600 $763,814 $776,280 $775,170 $766,132 $766,831 $660,015 20.7% 3.9%
Caledon $1,002,000 $1,185,182 $1,001,753 $952,466 $918,712 $1,028,591 $755,494 32.6% -2.6%
Mississauga $1,760,000 $1,140,965 $1,060,211 $1,034,338 $1,023,207 $1,066,015 $966,467 82.1% 65.1%
Toronto West $1,099,000 $1,039,022 $1,016,076 $1,102,379 $1,015,711 $919,916 $944,422 16.4% 19.5%
Toronto Central $2,100,000 $2,070,131 $2,109,070 $2,051,481 $2,302,146 $2,113,130 $1,983,187 5.9% -0.6%
Toronto East $969,000 $894,290 $889,002 $931,239 $961,805 $887,620 $860,814 12.6% 9.2%
Aurora $1,118,500 $1,033,353 $1,249,613 $1,280,888 $1,458,481 $1,144,094 $1,155,487 -3.2% -2.2%
E Gwillimbury $865,000 $769,624 $763,071 $1,013,350 $895,119 $966,047 $764,055 13.2% -10.5%
Georgina $526,700 $619,105 $542,792 $524,735 $600,791 $604,838 $548,886 -4.0% -12.9%
King $1,727,600 $2,129,286 $1,889,738 $1,887,696 $2,252,933 $1,768,333 $1,283,432 34.6% -2.3%
Markham $1,272,600 $1,497,330 $1,342,508 $1,468,221 $1,358,328 $1,319,860 $1,363,887 -6.7% -3.6%
Newmarket $854,600 $879,151 $946,465 $916,350 $895,191 $901,055 $841,593 1.5% -5.2%
Richmond Hill $1,400,000 $1,365,373 $1,526,836 $1,345,898 $1,401,922 $1,466,884 $1,412,443 -0.9% -4.6%
Vaughan $1,238,800 $1,245,480 $1,236,250 $1,280,906 $1,392,781 $1,348,649 $1,191,632 4.0% -8.1%
Whitchurch Stouffville $1,289,000 $970,236 $1,058,486 $928,551 $1,159,545 $1,024,941 $1,048,658 22.9% 25.8%
Ajax $700,000 $690,333 $710,440 $684,011 $696,604 $708,185 $646,370 8.3% -1.2%
Brock $570,800 $408,757 $445,829 $432,318 $513,579 $508,615 $419,758 36.0% 12.2%
Oshawa $559,900 $532,813 $524,422 $516,459 $516,904 $550,677 $467,981 19.6% 1.7%
Pickering $846,000 $812,035 $840,592 $790,733 $869,546 $812,643 $772,399 9.5% 4.1%
Scugog $697,000 $689,250 $726,898 $614,678 $594,062 $719,375 $545,804 27.7% -3.1%
Uxbridge $858,500 $720,557 $771,521 $1,031,295 $957,221 $792,233 $798,749 7.5% 8.4%
Whitby $718,300 $698,110 $669,922 $695,352 $745,222 $733,811 $618,032 16.2% -2.1%
Orangeville $585,500 $562,020 $575,349 $538,518 $594,636 $612,974 $490,825 19.3% -4.5%
Innisfil $644,600 $561,716 $599,443 $525,685 $541,274 $549,492 $476,756 35.2% 17.3%

Stats above courtesy of TREB Market Watch Report

A Look at Detached House Prices in Toronto’s MLS Districts

Toronto House Prices — MLS City Districts Home Price Comparison
TREB District City of Toronto Avg Price December 2017 Avg Price November 2017 Avg Price October 2017 Avg Price Sept Avg Price August Average Price April 2016 Avg Price April 2017 Avg Price Mar 2017 Price Change Since March 2017
Toronto W01 $1,639,475 $1,269,500 $1,709,593 $1,652,600 $1,146,500 $1,405,442 $1,506,333 $1,543,961 6.2%
Toronto W02 $1,403,750 $1,256,500 $1,273,391 $1,280,867 $1,172,250 $1,331,780 $1,538,546 $1,381,945 1.6%
Toronto W03 $701,000 $774,021 $741,391 $771,142 $692,125 $666,904 $854,316 $829,396 -15.5%
Toronto W04 $799,973 $819,469 $840,110 $850,621 $846,775 $786,951 $1,024,908 $1,073,531 -25.5%
Toronto W05 $826,750 $800,063 $874,660 $805,031 $823,767 $749,333 $930,876 $1,073,531 -23.0%
Toronto W06 $1,010,600 $914,017 $922,286 $992,023 $797,392 $795,840 $974,420 $1,128,584 -10.5%
Toronto W07 $1,200,571 $1,086,386 $1,474,725 $1,277,336 $973,250 $1,112,233 $1,484,406 $1,352,042 -11.2%
Toronto W08 $1,317,240 $1,378,995 $1,356,671 $1,247,374 $1,161,882 $1,204,013 $1,544,869 $1,610,163 -18.2%
Toronto W09 $1,005,500 $886,872 $975,778 $922,000 $1,139,211 $839,479 $1,197,627 $1,115,970 -9.9%
Toronto W10 $717,539 $691,261 $688,011 $661,357 $665,268 $613,488 $831,579 $802,909 -10.6%
Toronto C01 $1,412,000 $1,597,750 $1,393,875 $1,430,667 $1,005,000 $1,528,085 $1,646,240 $1,694,333 -16.7%
Toronto C02 $3,730,000 $2,109,010 $2,313,611 $2,242,400 $2,242,750 $1,580,181 $2,710,038 $2,170,853 71.8%
Toronto C03 $1,374,437 $2,327,333 $1,880,584 $1,742,200 $1,317,111 $1,761,787 $2,246,734 $2,473,608 -44.4%
Toronto C04 $2,237,414 $2,204,173 $2,220,546 $2,212,838 $2,200,398 $2,033,140 $2,583,667 $2,245,813 -0.4%
Toronto C06 $1,147,545 $1,293,688 $1,243,727 $1,327,467 $1,445,556 $1,318,750 $1,625,779 $1,811,183 -36.6%
Toronto C07 $1,693,958 $1,609,066 $1,741,987 $1,903,632 $1,776,771 $1,657,822 $2,004,585 $2,155,365 -21.4%
Toronto C09 $2,410,000 $3,538,371 $3,414,450 $2,916,750 $3,500,000 $2,998,401 $3,246,445 $4,481,000 -46.2%
Toronto C10 $2,375,000 $1,856,406 $1,807,154 $1,747,079 $1,473,125 $1,864,333 $1,945,104 $1,786,091 33.0%
Toronto C11 $1,807,500 $2,344,375 $1,895,636 $2,137,000 $1,547,000 $1,542,867 $2,275,117 $2,201,462 -17.9%
Toronto C12 $4,213,580 $3,729,125 $3,775,636 $5,160,518 $3,910,000 $3,141,244 $3,969,281 $4,420,370 -4.7%
Toronto C13 $2,002,400 $1,342,464 $1,520,151 $2,110,709 $1,788,465 $1,926,266 $2,606,111 $2,108,137 -5.0%
Toronto C14 $1,802,222 $2,235,856 $2,001,750 $2,249,879 $3,055,823 $1,996,137 $2,554,047 $2,673,112 -32.6%
Toronto C15 $1,915,292 $1,587,250 $1,944,667 $1,832,921 $1,602,033 $1,766,219 $2,144,120 $2,108,137 -9.1%
Toronto E01 $1,319,250 $1,102,667 $1,135,156 $1,196,542 $1,224,440 $1,164,343 $1,747,894 $1,206,359 9.4%
Toronto E02 $1,188,324 $1,457,515 $1,494,639 $1,625,074 $1,414,357 $1,333,475 $1,458,167 $1,507,090 -21.2%
Toronto E03 $1,008,987 $913,430 $1,023,487 $1,038,377 $956,448 $947,611 $1,099,537 $1,121,847 -10.1%
Toronto E04 $765,124 $777,377 $768,002 $794,523 $772,883 $717,890 $897,304 $889,018 -13.9%
Toronto E05 $929,943 $899,419 $1,019,362 $979,800 $995,190 $991,136 $1,249,824 $1,303,892 -28.7%
Toronto E06 $855,347 $822,917 $766,159 $926,615 $841,995 $766,782 $1,051,918 $1,102,286 -22.4%
Toronto E07 $888,969 $911,018 $897,653 $1,025,444 $922,600 $874,280 $1,164,819 $1,142,611 -22.2%
Toronto E08 $969,634 $930,974 $1,014,526 $852,070 $872,641 $810,560 $1,066,868 $1,092,667 -11.3%
Toronto E09 $752,919 $714,451 $739,871 $690,382 $699,646 $664,378 $855,363 $895,417 -15.9%
Toronto E10 $882,733 $821,381 $897,856 $944,666 $883,852 $821,126 $1,067,925 $1,069,906 -17.5%
Toronto E11 $666,136 794,238 $758,288 $778,100 $780,618 $720,672 $842,414 $851,750 -21.8%

 

Huge new housing developments in Bradford, Newmarket, Aurora, and Vaughan are still selling well, but the market in the 905 area code has cooled. That means bargains are waiting.

Will 2017 Sales in Toronto be a New Record?

2016 was a record year for home sales in Toronto, Mississauga, Vaughan, Newmarket, Bradford and Aurora areas in 2017 could well be even more intense.  

One district in Toronto saw its prices rise $1 million since Sept! See TREB charts below.

TREB forecasted another strong year for home sales via the MLS®.  Their outlook for the Toronto region was 100,000+ home sales for the third consecutive year. Between 104,500 and 115,500 home sales are expected in 2017, with a point forecast of 110,000. TREB’s districts include Mississauga, Oakville, Vaughan, Newmarket, Aurora, Richmond Hill, Markham Bradford, Scarborough, Brampton, Oshawa and Milton.

But what drives the Toronto housing market? Will it succumb to the same fate as Vancouver or worse?   If you’re a buyer, you’re wondering which neighbourhoods and towns to focus on and whether this market will tank. If you’re a seller, you’re wondering if you’re going to miss the biggest payday of your life by not selling. If you’re close to retirement, you may want to carefully review your choice not to sell. 2017 is a grand time for you to sell and move onto a better life.

The 16 Key Factors Driving The 2017 Toronto Housing Market:

  1. severe shortage of housing stock in the GTA region
  2. rising demand from buyers who have been renting
  3. restrictions on development land for housing
  4. Trump and NAFTA free trade deal and implications for Toronto’s automakers
  5. will the low dollar continue?
  6. will oil prices stay at current levels?
  7. rising numbers of millennials hunting for a home or condo
  8. bank of mom and dad continues funding kids home dream
  9. rising interest/mortgage rates
  10. Toronto and Ontario land transfer taxes
  11. rates of employment and income
  12. asian and persian home buyers and investors rush over?
  13. will China curtail its outflow of investment money?
  14. business investment in Ontario continues falling
  15. consumer debt loads and credit ratings
  16. further federal restrictions on first time buyers/downpayments
  17. commuting distances and new construction in York region and Vaughan

 

A look Bak at Toronto Home Prices for June 2017

This graphic courtesy of TREBhome.com illustrates how hot Toronto homes prices had been for each type of housing. (See the Toronto Condo market outlook too).

Sharing is Good for Your Social Health!

The Toronto real estate market is in a precarious state.  Help your friends and contacts who may be wondering if now is the right time to sell, before the housing crash. You can get your price in 2018.




How about the US? Different story for them. The US real estate market is ripe with opportunity with a minimal chance of a housing bubble or crash.

And from this telling graphic above, the shocking rise and fall of detached home prices tells us something is wrong with the Toronto real estate market. Could a Toronto housing crash occur? The renegotiation of the NAFTA deal may be the factor that starts the slide.  President Trump’s goal is US jobs and economic health and he’s already stated he wants a better deal with Canada. It makes sense that he would want auto makers and parts manufacturing to be done in the US. The Canadian dairy and lumber industries are just a distraction.

If there was ever a time to sell your home, this is it. Some have sold $1 Million over Asking.




Investment Rentals are Big Money — How About Rental Income Property?

Are you going to buy rental income property as an investment in 2018?  Check out cities in the US where there is a much better upside in profit. The US economy and housing market will be the top performer in 2017/18.

torontoforsale
Image courtesy of CBC — Hot Toronto Market Means Spending More

What do your realtor and local politicians say is happening in your local market in Toronto, Mississauga, Vaughan, Oakville, and York Region?  What’s their forecast? I’d like to know.

As we progress to 2018, emotions are going to run high as the critical factors you can read about below become intense. Could the Toronto economy collapse if home prices fall 20% (loss of taxes for governments among other fallout).

Below is an updated look at the March real estate market in the GTA. Recent trends show home prices are rising faster than any experts predicted. Will this be the excuse the government is looking for to upend the market? Or is demand for single detached homes simply too strong?

Government Values at Odds with the People and their Pocketbooks

Are the all too predictable actions of governments in Vancouver and Toronto foretelling what may happen in US markets such as Los Angeles, New York, Miami, and San Francisco? Is the battle over and treatment of land in all major urban areas simply an artificial means of inflating real estate prices or is there actually a land crisis?

If the Ontario government decreases available land for development, drives prices way up causing public furor thereby requiring draconian measures, will it end in a crash in late 2017? Will someone create a crisis to force a crash? We should be asking these questions if we’re investing or buying.

Scarcity of land is the primary driver of high prices in the Toronto real estate market. The biggest threat is unwise government manipulation.

BMO’s senior economist Benjamin Tal said in a Toronto Star report on October 14th, the Ontario Government’s Places to Grow program was primarily responsible for the fast rising prices in the GTA market. He also suggests other red tape factors worsened the situation. Prices in Newmarket, Markham, Mississauga, Richmond Hill, Bradford East Gwillimbury and Aurora have definitly crashed.

If land scarcity is driving prices up, then even a 15% foreign buyers tax and new mortgage rules for millennial buyers may not be enough to cool demand for housing or condos. The real factor may be the next recession, fueled by housing market mismanagement.

 

Please send this blog post onto your friends and neighbours because they should know as much about the Toronto area forecast factors as possible before they buy or sell.  It’s good to be helpful. Mistakes are painful.

March 2017 Price Index from Teranet – Index climbed right into August. October reports coming soon. Screenshot courtesy of housepriceindex.com.

What are the Causes of High Home Prices in Toronto?

The major factors that drive housing demand growth to Toronto: immigrant investors, better economy, low interest rates, increasing numbers of buyers in their home home buying years (millennials), and optimism all look on the upswing.  As mentioned in the Los Angeles Real Estate forecast post, here are the key factors that affect home prices:

Housing Demand – High overall demand – “all cash bidding wars” in some cases

Housing Supply – Throttled, supply is far from what’s needed

Developable Land – Throttled by government which is the single biggest factor

Builder Red Tape – Builders can’t build even if they have funding – high exposure to financial loss

Mortgage Rates – Continuing Low, especially in light of global economic slackening and with recent tightened lending rules

Down Payment and mortgage rules – these are being tightened this taking some pressure off of the purchase market and re-routing it to the rental market (people have to live somewhere)

Toronto Region Employment – moderate and remaining moderate despite Federal infrastructure

Taxes – rising quickly due to Ontario government and federal government spending

Buyer Income – moderate and not rising much

Home or Condo Prices – High and rising fast – out of reach for most buyers

Demographics – Millennials coming into family and home buying years and must begin to acquire their own living space

Number of Renters – increasing fast because of tight mortgage lending rules

New Home Construction: limited because of Green Spaces Act, but is a source of supply

Economic-Foreign Trade – Canada struggling and Free Trade agreements now being scrutinized because they don’t see to be working like they used to

Taxes on Sale of Home – huge tax burden for those selling in the city of Toronto

Some point to the Ontario government’s Places to Grow intensification plan as the major culprit in skyrocketing single detached home prices. Toronto condo prices haven’t risen like house prices have, yet condo demand is usually not spoken much about. It does look like a growing population want house to live in. A growing millennial family would certainly find it tough to live in highrise condos designed for adult living.

Share this post with your friends and clients. Everyone should know about the housing crisis factors and the economic spinoff from the Toronto Real Estate Market. It’s good and bad, but they should know the factors and help in the solution.

News posts in the Financial Post, Toronto Star, Globe & Mail, CTV, CBC etc, is often based on varied expert opinions and a few isolated market factors.  Why don’t we look at all the factors that comprise a realistic Toronto housing market outlook for 2017.

What are the Trends in Toronto Real Estate and New Housing?

Toronto Home Prices Historical
The only drop in Toronto home prices took place in 2008, in lieu of the great recession. Graphic courtesy of the Financial Post

ontarioeconomicforecast

ontarioconsumption

mortgage-rates-2006to2016

I’ve heard a number of convincing arguments for both a bubble and an extended period of growth in new housing development and resale housing price growth in Toronto. And I’ve heard before that money from China has no effect on the market, and from others, that today’s real estate market is driven by Chinese money. The banks and CREA just can’t get their stories straight and the media doesn’t report on how badly their forecasts were off the mark in previous years.

Was it All Driven by Chinese Buyers?

Fully 10% of new condominiums being built in central Toronto were going to foreign buyers, according to a survey released in April by the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC); veterans of the city’s rough-and-tumble real estate market believe the vast majority are mainland Chinese investors  10% doesn’t seem like a big number and we’re told that Chinese buyers are only interested in luxury priced properties.

TREB’s own survey found that foreign buyers actually had little effect on the market, and it was the chilling effect of the fair housing act that destroyed what was a health Toronto real estate market.

foreignownership-toronto-cma
Graphic and data courtesy of CMHC

Strangely, CREA is forecasting a marked slowdown in housing start for 2017 to a flat market for Toronto, Mississauga and Vancouver. But they admit the market is still very intense. In fact, in my town, sold over-asking price stickers are on almost every sold sign. There’s not just a few bids on these homes, sometimes there are a lot. It would take a serious economic recession or government action to get rid of all those buyers. Given how troubled our economy still is, in Ontario, it’s unlikely any government would push it into recession.

If you can sell a new house for $600,000 or a Condo for $300,000, why wouldn’t developers be building as many as they can? With economic factors supporting growth, the problem must be political. A quick look at Ontario’s urban intensification plan might show us where the real core of the housing availability crisis and fueling high rent and housing prices.

A quick look at the US housing forecast and a small market forecast for San Diego tells you that the Americans are enjoying moderate growth now and all the way to 2020. That will help carry us.

In a low oil price world, the Toronto and Vancouver economies have benefited and that has to be the key factor.  And we haven’t benefited much because manufacturing jobs didn’t come back. In fact, even with the low loonie, jobs still moved to Mexico and China.

Expert Asks; Can You Believe Anything from Anyone Anymore?

We were told by the experts that the boom is only being experienced in Vancouver and Toronto, but the graph below tells a different story. If the US economy picks up, we could see all Canadian cities heating up.

Housing Demand Toronto Vancouver Montreal Calgary

The Usual Suspects?  Government

The upcoming jump in downpayment for mortgages will only hurt first time buyers who will still have to rent a condo or home somewhere, if they can afford it. There’s word the BC government may levy taxes against unoccupied homes and they’ve talked about harassing investors (background checks).  Of course, BC just levied the 15% foreign buyer tax and caught many unwary buyers offguard, resulting in extra costs of over $100,000 for some. That’s what happens when government starts meddling in markets – they don’t work anymore.

Ontario’s Urban Intensification Act appears to be colliding head on with the Greenbelt expansion plans by intensifying growth near the greenbelt areas and at the same time shrinking available land. Is this a wise move at a time of fragile yet positive economic growth?

Houses for Sale in the Sizzling Hot GTA Market

Housing markets such as Vaughan, York Region, and Central Toronto heated up considerably in 2017 and more people moving to these municipalities. No one looked at Aurora real estate in past years, but new housing developments, great lifestyle, along with a very limited supply of land within the town means speculators will be jumping on the bandwagon. Days on market for Aurora homes was down to 10 last spring — only Oshawa homes sold that fast, and for over asking price.

Homebuyers are willing to look beyond the green spaces belt, but they’ll look at Aurora, Bradford, Stouffville, and Newmarket first before heading north. The pressure from Toronto, Chinese, and Mississauga buyers should put much upward pressure on these regions.

 

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Sacramento Housing Predictions | Current Market Update and Forecast for 2018 2019

Sacramento Housing Market in 2018

Is 2018/2019 looking strong for the Sacramento housing market? Consensus is yes. It may be hurtling at top-speed toward peak San Franciscification as one report has it.

The US and California economies look good and with President Trump pushing for fair trade agreements, it can only produce more GDP growth, upward wage pressures and further reawakening of the American dream, long since abandoned in the last 11 years.

And even with NASDAQ and corporate tech threatened, Silicon Valley is still the lightning rod of the American revival.



Yet, there are other ways to view the Bay area outlook.  Are peristent regulations, interest rates, or the natural tail end of the housing cycle harbingers of doom? Could Sacramento’s market collapse in a larger national or California housing crash?

Experts are torn in their predictions because there are so many conflicting factors affecting all US housing markets from Los Angeles and San Francisco to Boston and Florida. The rising prices are the result of higher demand and low housing availability almost everywhere.

Sacramento Riverboat Cruises

Not in My Backyard Sentiment is Strong

And California is where the housing crisis is worst. Residents don’t want the inflation, immigration, higher taxes, congestion, pollution, water shortages, and crime that new developments might bring.

In fact a report in the San Jose Mercury News suggests California politicians are failing to approve housing development initiatives. That translates to higher home prices and apartment rental prices for 2018/2019 and beyond.

Relentless Growth in Housing

Some suggest these nationwide trends will drive all markets from 2018 to 2020 — the demand in Sacramento County was just delayed. Is Sacramento worth it? It seems the lower prices is all that matters to most, however this area has a warm charm and excellent climate that many residents could never think of letting go of.




Yuba City and Sutter County Real Estate

The desperation of Sacramento residents is pushing them north to Yuba City and Sutter County to find bargain houses for sale.

See the Yuba City/Sutter County real estate update provided by Michele Swift. You’ll see all the local market details and comparisons with Sacramento.

Lifestyle factors, lack of availability, and affordability issues will drive home sales in Yuba City, Sutter County and other towns outside of Sacramento, and it’s worth a look up north.

Buyers from San Francisco and the Bay Area are still eagerly checking out Sacramento for bargains themselves. Realtor.com reports only 2770 homes are for sale on the MLS in Sacramento, a county of 2.4 million people.

Sac was the fastest growing city in the nation last year with a growth rate of 1.4% which accounts to a whopping 33,000 new residents.

Zillow reports that 89% of homes in Sacramento increased in value whereas only 7.4% of homes decreased in value. The monthly rent index grew 8.2% in the last year showing rental income property investment and speculation may be adding to the price pressure. For renters, who seek relief from $4,000+ rents in San Francisco, the $1500 price tag in Sacramento is alluring.

Sacramento’s Affordable Homes Draw

The current average home price in the city is $323,000 while Elk Grove and Roseville are priced at averages of $421,000 and $438,000 respectively.

To someone cashing out of the market in San Francisco, even these rising prices are very attractive.


pic: sacramentohousingstats pic courtesy of Zillow.com

This excellent chart agove from Zillow reveals exceptional price growth in Citrus Heights, Elk Grove, Fair Oaks, Florin, Orangevale, and Sacramento. El Dorado Hills and Rocklin recorded the lowest rates of price growth.

Realtor.com rated Sacramento as the 5th hottest housing market in the nation in February 2018, up from 8th spot in January. 14 of the top 20 were California cities. And the forecast for the state of California remains hot, including San Diego, San Francisco, San Jose, and Los Angeles.

A report in the Mercury news shows demand for homes in Sacramento is coming from the Bay Area. One estimate is that 120,000 Sacramento residents work in the Bay Area. This makes this new mega region very attractive for all sorts of innovative living and working solutions.

“Each year, nearly 20,000 Bay Area residents are resettling in cities stretching from Davis to Sacramento and further east to the Sierra foothills, according to census data analyzed by the Greater Sacramento Economic Council.” – San Jose Mercury News




Home Prices 2017 in Sacramento County

This chart of home prices in Sacramento neighbourhoods, courtesy of Trulia, indicates those with the most intense demand from buyers. Take not of those in bold font below that have experienced the strongest price growth. Ask your realtor what are the keys to this jump in prices.

Sacramento Neighborhood Sales Price Year over Year Change
Poverty Ridge $377,400.00 -35.4%
East Sacramento $660,500.00 17.2%
Land Park $664,500.00 15.2%
Curtis Park $535,800.00 4.9%
Midtown $539,900.00 3.9%
Southside Park $419,000.00 -16.7%
Upper Land Park $483,100.00 6.8%
CSUS $550,800.00 8.9%
Newton Booth $369,000.00 -19.8%
Mansion Flats $376,800.00 -18.8%
Pocket $440,900.00 1.5%
Richmond Grove $725,000.00 42.2%
Westlake $456,700.00 16.9%
New Era Park $482,500.00 26.3%
Natomas Park $448,300.00 16.3%
Elmhurst $432,600.00 5.8%
South Land Park $428,300.00 13.6%
Little Pocket $421,300.00 -29.6%
Village 7 $423,900.00 -1.3%
Carleton Tract $346,300.00 21.5%
Sierra Oaks $477,000.00 -2.3%
Natomas Crossing $366,900.00 54.5%
Village 12 $370,800.00 13.6%
Downtown $402,900.00 7.9%
Willow Creek $377,600.00 10.5%
Z’berg Park $401,000.00 6.7%
Campus Commons $375,700.00 -2.0%
Tahoe Park East $325,000.00 3.5%
Med Center $384,600.00 11.2%
Natomas Creek $373,500.00 8.9%
Gateway West $370,500.00 13.3%
Tahoe South Park $320,200.00 7.7%
Regency Park $344,400.00 9.8%
South East $259,100.00 13.4%
North Oak Park $336,000.00 9.2%
Woodlake $419,300.00 14.5%
Sundance Lake $390,000.00 4.0%
Metro Center $350,200.00 20.7%
Hollywood Park $369,100.00 5.0%
Creekside $344,300.00 15.3%
Tahoe Park $376,400.00 14.8%
College / Glen $344,300.00 6.8%
Brentwood $379,200.00 55.5%
Tallac Village $257,600.00 1.9%
North City Farms $263,300.00 17.7%
Colonial Heights $277,600.00 -7.6%
Northpointe $280,800.00 4.6%
Colonial Village North $262,200.00 7.7%
South Natomas $281,000.00 15.8%
Valley Hi / North Laguna $300,700.00 20.1%
Strawberry Manor $188,600.00 4.4%
Gardenland $281,800.00 12.2%
Parkway Estates $248,300.00 0.3%
Northgate $253,900.00 12.0%
Avondale $206,700.00 4.4%
Mangan Park $283,400.00 12.5%
Parkway North $223,000.00 8.8%
Colonial Village $238,600.00 25.2%
Robla $272,800.00 14.4%
Meadowview $260,900.00 19.8%
Swanston Estates $283,400.00 37.5%
Tokay Park $203,800.00 -14.9%
Lindale $220,000.00 0.9%
Lawrence Park $213,800.00 7.1%
Hagginswood $208,400.00 4.0%
Oak Knoll $320,400.00 34.4%
Ralley Industrial Park $274,500.00 34.6%
Glen Elder $204,400.00 2.4%
South Hagginwood $182,900.00 38.1%
River Gardens $296,000.00 58.3%
Woodbine $223,500.00 0.2%
Parkway $236,300.00 29.9%
Central Oak Park $246,000.00 17.5%
Fruitridge Manor $102,500.00 -26.3%
South Oak Park $207,500.00 38.1%
Noralto $205,300.00 24.9%
East Del Paso Heights $190,900.00 11.8%
Richardson Village $221,300.00 51.6%
Golf Course Terrace $260,200.00 3.5%
Del Paso Heights $222,600.00 23.1%
Ben Ali $196,000.00 24.7%
Freeport Manor $303,800.00 38.1%
RP Sports Compex $150,000.00 20.1%
South City Farms $177,500.00 16.0%
Glenwood Meadows $252,100.00 10.4%
Willis Acres $187,200.00 7.5%
Airport $255,000.00 1.9%




Sacramento County is one of the hottest housing markets in 2018. If you’re an investor, you have to take this market seriously. With home prices at one third of neighboring cities in the Bay Area and 300,000 new residents in 2017, within a strong economy, there’s opportunity.

Please do Bookmark and Share this post. It will be updated frequently with new stats and expert opinions.

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Federal Court Rules Against Toronto Real Estate Board – Toronto Mississauga York Region Durham Peel

Federal Courts Rule in Favour of Anti Trust Legislators

The Federal Court of Appeal has upheld an April, 2016 decision made by Canada’s Competition Tribunal. It has ordered the Toronto Real Estate Board to allow its members to share the sales histories of listed properties online.

This ruling relates as well to the incoming opportunities of Blockchain technology in real estate. What’s at stake is the all important client and property databases.

TREB has always contended that its first priority is to protect homebuyers data and privacy. It seems the courts didn’t buy that argument. This isn’t an isolated war in Canadian markets and courts. REBGV in Vancouver is fighting to hang onto its data too.

From the ruling: “The tribunal made no error in finding that TREB engaged in an anti-competitive practice and that this practice had and will likely continue to have the effect of preventing or lessening competition substantially in the (Greater Toronto Area).”





Whether this is good news or not so good news depends on who you are. It’s certainly good news for online real estate service businesses. They can improve their services with this open data source. TREB’s 45,000 realtor members may feel this is a threat to their own businesses who benefited from stifled competition.

It will create a further evolution in professional real estate sales. Agents and brokers will have to be smarter, more effective, and create a better presence online. The new market will move from Realtor intranets to the Internet and smartphones.

TREB is appealing the ruling and hoping to stay the order that allows immediate release of the home sales information. It’s a small win for some, but eyes are on the future, where more of the TREB data can be released and reported on.

Without accurate, up to date housing data, it is very difficult for service companies to do business in Toronto Real Estate. TREB has almost monopolistic power in an era that is demanding access to market data.




In a Toronto Star Report,  the governments’s commissioner of Competition, John Pecman says Friday’s ruling is an important win for competition and consumers.

It paves the way for much needed innovation in the real estate industry,” he said in a statement about the case has been going on for six years.” – from Torstar new report.

Realtors can now post home sales data on their websites for buyers and sellers to see.  The tribunal also said TREB must provide data such as sales figures, pending sales and broker commissions, which might be embarassing situation for some.



It’s All About the Housing Data

Although the argument seems to be about the release of the actual sales price history of homes, it may actually be more about control and the rest of the data in TREB’s gargantuan database.  Although TREB wants control of the data, which could mined for incredibly business value, it looks like they are losing the battle.

Perhaps TREB should go with the flow on this one and charge a fee for it? Even if the data is the property of TREB, the ruling shouldn’t prevent TREB from selling their data. If there are privacy issues regarding the data, then the Federal Government may be held liable for releasing it.  Homeowners themselves were likely lead to believe their property and personal information would be protected and private.

Sounds like a legal can of worms.

Some wonder if it’s a sad state of affairs if a Realtor’s only value proposition is as a gatekeeper to the data. That data has immense valuable to a lot of investors and home buyers. Previously, only Zillow had this type of housing sales data. The release of TREB mls data may be a nail in the coffin for Zillow.



It is likely new businesses and business models will evolve as a result of the ruling. Smaller businesses can jump on it right away to offer enhanced services online, but other large scale, Zillow, Zolo or Zoocasa enterprise level businesses will likely have to wait until the matter is fully settled in the Supreme court.

We’re in a data driven business world, and until now, the housing data was contained. Now with that dam bursting, it opens up many possibilities for entrepreneurial startups in the real estate sphere.

For real estate agents, the news is likely not a good one. Agents will now have to work much more effectively at building new real estate leads, holding onto old clients, and revamping the power of their own realtor brand image.

The release of this immense database will open up all sorts of entrepreneurial opportunities and range of services by real estate marketers of all types.  The Canadian markets are opening up open market models you see in the US.




Are you looking for the latest Toronto real estate market outlook, Mississauga real estate forecast, Vancouver real estate forecast, or the Calgary real estate predictions?  See also the Toronto condo market forecast and Vancouver condo market forecast.

 

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San Diego Houses for Sale | La Jolla Pacific Beach Mission Beach Point Loma Homes

Houses for Sale in San Diego

Amazing San Diego is ready to welcome you.  Get started finding home anywhere in San Diego including the North County.

The number of listings is rising slowly, and the SD real estate forecast is still good, but you must remember that detached houses are at a premium here in SD County, just as they are in Los Angeles and Orange Country.

Connecting with Realtors in San Diego is okay, but you will find it more productive to expand the sources of potential listings and soon-to-be-listed homes.  San Diego has many waterfront and inland communities you’ll love living in. The most well known are La Jolla, Coronado, Mission Beach, Mission Valley, El Cajon, Chula Vista, University City, Clairemont, National City, and to the North Rancho Santa Fe.




You might choose to stick with San Diego realtors, (SDAR) however, they tend to stick with the MLS and their own pocket listings.  That can hamper your overall property investment strategy.  You may end up with less home for your money.

There are 2,200 homes for sale in San Diego listed on realtor.com and Zillow has 1,800 houses for sale listed. That’s still a lot of houses for sale! Let’s hope more affordable home become available soon. By all means, check out Zillow’s listings below.




You can find  other properties including land, townhouses, and condos in San Diego County too. Use my homes for sale search strategy to find  them. Without a good search process, it’s unlikely you’re going to outcompete other buyers who are more search savvy than you.  The home prices in San Diego and much of California have started to flatten. Make sure you up on all the factors related to the current and forecasted prices of houses for sale in California.

There are 3 sources of non mls listed homes in NYC — Craigslist, ForSaleByOwner, and Zillow. Check out Zillow’s huge online listing of San Diego houses now.




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San Diego Real Estate Forecast

San Diego’s Real Estate Market

It’s hard not to forecast San Diego as a good housing market from 2017 through 2020 just as it is in LA, San Francisco and the Bay area. Buy if you can find anyone willing to sell.

The gorgeous climate, wonderful lifestyle, improving California economy, increased immigration of workers here, beefed up military spending, and proximity to Mexico and the Asian block countries means it is perfectly positioned for big housing demand and very high home prices. 




There’s no better place to relocate to if you’re established or your business is doing well. San Diego will give you back everything you give it and more. I’ve had amazing clients in San Diego.

San Diego is an exciting place to live and for real estate investment. Similar to South Florida, it’s younger buyers in the US and foreign buyers that are eyeing property here. And while many experts call for only moderate price increases, you’ll see the stats below are suggesting higher San Diego home prices and decreased availability. It’s the right time to sell your San Diego home.




What’s San Diego’s achilles heel? Lack of housing development and urban intensification. Another problem might be politicians trying to suppress growth in this little piece of heaven.  But San Diego’s smack dab in the middle of everything. They’ll be under extreme pressure to stop the resistance and net migration into SD County.

Political Resistance to Population Growth

In the face of huge demand, politicians will be under the gun about putting the Kaibosh on SD’s amazing real estate fortune. This factor will ensure prices will rocket out of control.  Are local SD County politicians and the California government doing much to grow housing developments inland? Will the exodus of illegal Mexicans ease the issue? Are illegals buying homes?

Demand for homes in San Diego County will never subside. It is one the best places on earth and prices will stay high. For homeowners here, it is on of those infrequent opportunities to cash out and make a killing. You only need a dream and somewhere to go.

Here’s an easy to understand Forecast of San Diego’s real estate future.

San Diego’s Real Estate Forecast for 2017 is Rosy

And that’s despite the negative outlooks of some toward all of SoCal. February 2017 saw significant price increases (e.g., La Jolla up 29% year over year for detached houses and 55% for townhouse condos) and it’s driven by the California housing shortage crisis. Because of that, we’ll see big home prices right through the spring. The same outlook applies to Los Angeles, Orange County, San Jose, and the San Francisco Bay Area.

This graphics below shows housing is in short supply and affordability is plummeting. It’s an emergency situation that forecasts big rent increases and strong home price growth. Since home building takes time especially in a heavily regulated environment, there’s little chance of diminished demand. With incomes increasing and millennials coming into their family building years, the stage is set for rocketing prices.

The Three Tiered Market in SD

This excellent chart below courtesy of First Tuesday, shows how demand for lower priced properties is almost a separate world. It’s this more steep tier that is most likely to see huge price growth. Will this turn into a San Diego housing bubble as part of a US housing crash?  The 2007 real estate crash saw big drops in luxury home prices in SD and this time around, we have to wonder if foreign money will vacate fast if the market heads downward. My opinion is that California and San Diego are pretty strong and there’s no other compelling destination for foreign money.

3 Tiered Real Estate Chart Courtesy of first tuesday

It’s an excellent opportunity for rental property investors who want to capitalize on the severe housing and rental property shortage. Property owners near the I5 with waterfront views in La Jolla, Del Mar, Claremont, Solana Beach, and Encinitas may not have much to be concerned with.

As long as the Trump ecconomic surge continues, San Diego’s outlook should be bright.




Should I Sell My San Diego Home?

You could hang onto your home for another 20%, but if enough San Diegans do keep their home off the market due to greed, the repercussions could be serious. This holding onto property is happening all over North America. With nowhere to go, there’s likely not going to be a big selloff anytime soon so price rises could elevate. To ease this crisis, governments could offer incentives for home sellers to let go of their property? For sure, new housing will not ease this crisis. What will make a difference is Realtors convincing people to sell their homes and move on with their lives.

Screen Capture courtesy of SDAR

The housing shortage is a  global phenomena, not just in San Diego. All the in demand cities are seeing foreign that’s fleeing other countries boost up prices in New York, Palm Beach, Toronto, and Miami. The new problem we may face is a shortage of construction workers, which could raise construction costs. That will put upward pressure on resale home prices.

 Considering Buying or Investing in Real Estate in San Diego?

Here’s 13 factors you should be weighing when buying or selling in San Diego County:

  1. Housing Demand – High overall demand – “all cash bidding wars” in some cases
  2. Housing Supply – Throttled, supply is far from what’s needed
  3. Mortgage Rates – Continuing Low, especially in light of global economic slackening
  4. Down Payment and mortgage rules – Banks are withdrawing FHA loans however some are offering downpayments as low as 3%
  5. Regional Employment – Very low and falling
  6. Buyer Income – low yet rising quickly
  7. Home Prices – High and rising – out of reach for most buyers – many consider San Diego County homes grossly over-priced
  8. Demographics – Millennials coming into family and home buying years and their income is growing fast
  9. Number of Renters – increasing fast
  10. New Home Construction: slow (100k to 140k per year) and illegal workers being chased out
  11. Economic-Foreign Trade – Trump expected to raise US GDP and add fuel to incomes and home prices
  12. President Trump – uncertainty of what Trump will create and how much interference he’ll see
  13. Taxes on Sale of Home – Tax situation is great for sellers

What will the San Diego Real Estate Market Look Like in 2017?

2016 was a great year and there’s no reason to believe the market will falter. In fact, San Diego’s situation is very similar to the Los Angeles real estate forecast.  Typically, SD’s housing market doesn’t pick up until after the main markets have grown. Normally, it takes years before demand for high end luxury homes reaches speed here in SD.

The market right now is in waiting mode for US buyers to get richer – particularly Millenials entering their family raising years.  Sure there are South American Buyers looking for homes right now, as well as Russians, but that demand could dry up soon.

With the new Trump Era fully engaged, job growth will pick up steam in Southern California. This will drive growth in places like Escondido, Del Mar, Oceanside, Carlsbad, and San Diego.

San Diego Home Prices

Take a look at San Diego’s historic price chart courtesy of SDAR. Detached home prices are up $300,000 in the last 4.5 years. We’ll be looking at similar price growth rates in 2017.  Many experts are commenting more on a possible housing crash, which would include San Diego.

If you’re thinking of selling, this might be the best time to contact a San Diego Realtor and begin the process. There is no vertical price rise on the graph, or glut of first time buyers with underwater mortgages, but 29% price rises in La Jolla might be a signal of trouble ahead.

My guess is that we’re in for good times for a while in San Diego. Make sure you review the Los Angeles report and the Toronto Real estate forecast to give you a better understanding the global foreign buyer demand that’s affecting all markets. US home builders should  be optimistic about demand and put pressure on legislators to free up land and offer incentives.




Case Shiller’s home price index for San Diego is 229 compared to the national average of 185.

Screen Capture courtesy of SDAR Stats
Screen capture courtesy of SDAR Stats

According to SDAR, home prices are up 6% to an average of $540,000. The real estate trends reflect the general demand as shown in the Los Angeles Market report.  A sharp rise in real income, combined with lower unemployment, rising GDP, and fewer listings available points to higher prices in 2017, 2018 and 2019.  But things are heating up as we saw in La Jolla where detached homes rose an astonishing 29% to an average of 2.26 million. These rates are only seen in other cities such as Toronto.

Screen capture courtesy of SDAR Stats
Screen capture courtesy of SDAR Stats

 

About Business: Should San Diego be a Startup Haven?

Forbes published their top cities for startups report and they chose San Diego as the best place to launch a new business. You probably wouldn’t get too much argument that a medical and security software startup would thrive here, but is SD better than silicon valley at anything else? Blair Giesen of Thevoiceofsandiego.com is a little skeptical that investors are here and that San Diego is a tech hub. But don’t tell that to San Diego Startup Week who just had their 5 day convention. And conventions are one big advantage San Diego does have.

 

San Diego Has All the Charm and a Good Economy – But are You Communicating That Well Enough?

California was just named the 5th largest economy in the world and it’s had a great year in 2016. That’s amazing, but does San Diego’s small business and startup growth compare to that of LA and silicon valley? Some of the data below suggests that despite growth in manufacturing and professional services, talented workers may not want to move to SD county. With the Trump presidency firmly launched, San Diego, San Francisco and Los Angeles may be headed for boom times.

Source: Wallet Hub




Which industries are best for startup businesses in San Diego?

bestbusinesses

Team Up with the Right Partners

Should San Diego Chamber of Commerce and San Diego Regional Economic Development be doing more?  Although some startups have found success, it isn’t easy to succeed especially in digital marketing against tough competition. Companies would be wise to get connected with companies and investors in other cities, perhaps Canada or the UK to build a wider base of success. By networking and accessing those components that don’t and never will exist in San Diego, SD might be able to compete equally with LA, NY, Boston and Silicon Valley. What shouldn’t be underestimated is the desire of companies in Vancouver or Toronto or London to work with SD companies. Motivation is a key factor in performance.

San Diego’s wonderful leisure climate and opportunities are a powerful draw to bring smart talent, business entrepreneurs, and investors from around the world. All that’s needed are people who believe in San Diego!

Check out SDEDC’s downloadable infographic of the current economic stats (June 2016)

sdedc

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Should SD be Leveraging the 4 Pillars instead of Leaning on Them?

San Diego has 4 key industries including maritime/naval, healthcare, tourism, and research.

Although US naval fleets and operations are the biggest engine of business and tax revenue in San Diego, the future of war doesn’t look good. If defense budgets stay at current levels, that’s fine, but San Diego needs to grow and diversify to generate greater opportunity, investment and of course jobs.

percapitasandiegoAccording to dot.ca.gov, in 2012, most employment sectors in San Diego enjoyed job growth. And the city’s current 4.2% jobless rate is extraordinary. Most cities can only dream of that. The largest gains occurred in professional services (+5,700 jobs), leisure and hospitality (+5,400 jobs), and retail and wholesale trade (+4,500 jobs), and education and healthcare (+4,300 jobs). The only sector that lost jobs was government (-1,400 jobs).  

It’s expected that from 2013 to 2018, growth will average 1.9 % per year and the fastest rates of growth will occur in information and professional and business services with annual rates of 3.8% and 2.9%

Compare SD’s per capital income growth to San Francisco’s pictured here at right, and you can expect more skilled, creative talented IT related workers to choose Palo Alto and Mountainview rather than San Diego to work and live. But for startups, it might be better to stick to Toronto (see Entrepreneur.com’s vote), Vancouver or Charlotte. Boston, LA, San Francisco, and Silicon Valley are expensive. And Sergei Brin of Google agrees.

Don’t launch your startup in Silicon Valley. During the boom cycles, the expectations around the costs – real estate, salaries – the expectations people and employees have … it can be hard to make a scrappy initial business that’s self-sustaining. Silicon Valley is good for scaling that opportunity, providing more capital and allowing more risk.” — Sergei Brin stated at the Global Entrepreneurship Summit June 27, 2016

From 2016 to 2020, SD’s population will grow about 180,000 and per capita income will grow about $4,000 to an average of $58,428. The professional services sector will see the strongest job growth in total of more than 20,000 new jobs.

sandiegoindustries

percapitasanfranciso
San Francisco’s average income is $30,000 above San Diego’s. It will take a lot for San Diego Businesses to overcome that, and the fact that Silicon Valley is full of investment money.

And in this graphic at right, we discover that per capita income will rise much faster than the California average (other CA counties will do much better).

High wages in San Francisco, Palo Alto, Mountainview, Santa Clara, San Jose will draw high skilled IT workers like flies. However the Bay Area is pricey and the cost of doing business there will eat away at capital and profits.  Silicon Valley looks to India for alleys but Donald Trump might throw a monkey wrench into their machine.

 

REAL ESTATE: High volumes of sales and soaring home prices indicate that compared to the rest of the nation, California metros are benefitting from strong housing sector growth in 2013. San Francisco is considered by some to be the strongest market in the country, closely followed by several other California metros including San Jose, Sacramento, Orange, and San Joaquin Counties.

 

Where will you find San Francisco apartments for rent? Are you looking for the best cities to invest in real estate in 2017? Where is the best Vacation destination: Costa Rica or San Diego? Is this he right time to sell your home? Reports suggest people don’t intend to sell their homes so what impact will that have on the US housing construction forecast?  How will first time buyers ever get the mortgage financing they need to buy?

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Up or Down. How Will the Foreign Buyers Tax Affect Toronto Condo Prices?

Toronto Condos – Still a Smart Investment?

Screen Cap Courtesy of Pier 27 Condominiums, Toronto

The Toronto Condo Market couldn’t be more difficult to comprehend right now after the Liberal’s pushed their unwise Foreign buyers tax and rent controls. With availability of condos squeezed, prices in Toronto rose to record levels. What will happen this year and 2018 in Toronto’s condo market?

Toronto Real Estate Boards latest facts:  Condo availability down 18.8% and condo prices were up 24.3% compared to last year.  Demand for condos is expected to stay strong or strengthen while sustained lower availability should keep prices strong 2017 through to 2020.





Questions: Which way will prices and condo supply go in Toronto? Will reduced condo construction offset any rent controls now in effect? Can investors and condo developers still make a good ROI despite the rogue foreign buyers tax? Will the Ontario’s measures push the province into recession? 3 housing experts weigh in with their views below.

Should I Sell my Condo Now?

Urbanation’s Shaun Hildebrand

Urbanation senior vice-president Shaun Hildebrand suggested that rent increases had leveled off recently due to a new supply of condos hitting the Toronto market. His beliefs correspond with many experts belief that a lack of supply is the problem and that new supply tames the price increases.

In the Urbanation post: “While the market remains undersupplied, the report says the 11,315 newly completed condos that reach closing in the past six months helped to alleviate recent pressure on rents.”




The new foreign buyer tax is expected to kill demand from foreign investors. Kathleen Wynne has characterized these foreign investors as speculators as “undesirable” parking their money. She didn’t comment on whether immigrant investors are coming here to launch their business to give their kids a great education. She failed to specify why foreign investors parking money here is wrong or illegal. And she provided absolutely no data regarding how much foreign investment actually takes place in the Toronto Housing Market.

A number of Realtors and experts say foreign investment is only a small portion of the Toronto housing market.

If that’s the case, Toronto condo prices similar to Toronto detached home prices will likely not fall much and will recover probably by late summer. Some say this will be a brief market letdown and if new condo projects dwindle in number, it will only drive up condo prices in 2018 and 2019.

As you can see in these stats from TREB below, condo prices in Markham, Vaughan, Toronto West, Richmond Hill and even the hot zone of Toronto central, are reachable for many buyers. Adding 20% should still make them affordable.

Emporis, a research firm that specializes in Condo development reporting says there are 154 condo projects currently in construction in Toronto with another whopping 364 planned and 382 unbuilt. Ontario’s depressing tax could put prevent many new projects from moving forward which will constrain development and lower condo availability. That will move Toronto condo prices higher in the long term, assuming Ontarios economy can continue improving.

Barry Fenton, CEO of Lanterra Developments

Lanterra Development is a major condo developer in Toronto forecasts that condo prices will rise another 40%. Here’s the video interview with Catherine Murray of BNN.

Brad Lamb of Brad J Lamb Realty

In an early interview with Brad Lamb, a well known Realtor specializing in downtown Toronto Condos, Lamb suggested the Foreign Buyers Tax could conceivably lead to recession in Toronto and across. Lamb was then quickly rebuffed by Doug Porter, Capital Markets Chief Economist of BMO Capital Markets.  Porter blurted, “And I have eaten, drank and slept the Canadian economy for more than 30 years,” which look a little like a smackdown of Lamb’s credibility and capacity to speak with authority on the matter of housing economics. However, Bank representives to tend to align with current government positions on these types of decisions so we have to question Porter’s credibility as well.




In that same BNN interview, David Madani, of Capital Economics said that Toronto new housing construction accounts for 1% of Canada’s GDP:  “Accordingly, a moderate slowdown in Toronto housing construction wouldn’t put the entire economy into recession… It would take a much broader negative shock to national housing investment and personal consumption to put the whole economy into recession.”

But as we know now, the US is beginning to apply border taxes and we have to wonder when Trump will tax Ontario’s lucrative auto industry. The 1% that foreign investment in real estate provides, suddenly looks large. Now that the tax has been announced, foreign investors and our own condo development companies won’t trust the government.

 

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Toronto House Prices

Toronto House Prices – Rise or Fall in 2018?

Toronto house prices in 2018 have taken a somewhat similar downward path as the Real Estate market in Vancouver did in 2017.  This depression may not last long.

Condos in Toronto on the other hand are home buyer’s soup du jour for 2018, 2019, and 2020 because of new mortagage rules and limited availability.  Constructions starts are down due to rent controls and buyer worries over government behanviour.

Both provincial governments took credit for the sales and price drops, but the truth is, is that buyer psychology caused the market to moderate in sales only. Whether buying or renting, prices are high and it’s still a seller’s market.

The Toronto real estate market hasn’t lost much in the way of price even though sales have dropped.  The worrisome aspect of this sudden roller coaster ride of prices is the effect on the Canadian economy which is highly rated, but somewhat insecure.




In Toronto and Vancouver, the downpayment for a home/condo alone, is enough to buy a property outright in most other places across Canada.  Rising private debt, stagnant wages, and low interest rates could be enough to form a bubble and lead to a crash. But most experts feel the Vancouver and Toronto real estate markets will be just fine.




Why these politicians are so adamant in their opposition to housing growth isn’t known. As the NDP government comes into power in BC, prices in Vancouver have begun to advance. As long as housing is in short supply, the price pressure will always be upward. That’s a good cue for all real estate investors.

According to TREB, the MLS® Home Price Index Composite benchmark price rose 9.7% YoY, in October.  The average selling price for all home types was $780,104 – up by 2.3% compared to the average of $762,691 in October 2016.

Graphic courtesy of TREBhome.com

House Prices in Toronto’s MLS Districts in 2017

Average Prices and Price Growth – Detached Homes TREB 
City October 2017 September 2017 August 2017 July 2017 June 2017 May 2017 April 2016 Price Change Last 17 months Price Change Last 6 Months
Burlington $895,457 $974,446 $944,564 $921,434 $1,071,980 $1,083,144 $961,502 -7% -17%
Halton Hills $787,517 $706,500 $984,812 $819,770 $789,094 $825,058 $828,719 -5% -5%
Milton $884,144 $853,790 $866,650 $875,123 $965,488 $932,899 $765,973 15% -5%
Oakville $1,482,620 $1,393,860 $1,314,363 $1,368,523 $1,312,370 $1,561,514 $1,191,503 24% -5%
Brampton $775,170 $766,132 $766,831 $750,856 $801,246 $871,052 $660,015 17% -11%
Caledon $952,466 $918,712 $1,028,591 $1,083,138 $1,102,645 $1,190,527 $755,494 26% -20%
Mississauga $1,034,338 $1,023,207 $1,066,015 $1,113,952 $1,067,449 $1,136,083 $966,467 7% -9%
Toronto West $1,102,379 $1,015,711 $919,916 $1,131,637 $1,118,602 $1,142,292 $944,422 17% -3%
Toronto Central $2,051,481 $2,302,146 $2,113,130 $2,080,982 $2,199,630 $2,488,673 $1,983,187 3% -18%
Toronto East $931,239 $961,805 $887,620 $949,712 $956,883 $991,509 $860,814 8% -6%
Aurora $1,280,888 $1,458,481 $1,144,094 $1,201,830 $1,225,236 $1,360,696 $1,155,487 11% -6%
E Gwillimbury $1,013,350 $895,119 $966,047 $867,833 $1,074,667 $973,263 $764,055 33% 4%
Georgina $524,735 $600,791 $604,838 $548,543 $652,508 $766,273 $548,886 -4% -32%
King $1,887,696 $2,252,933 $1,768,333 $1,529,767 $1,455,423 $1,756,387 $1,283,432 47% 7%
Markham $1,468,221 $1,358,328 $1,319,860 $1,477,487 $1,423,179 $1,580,570 $1,363,887 8% -7%
Newmarket $916,350 $895,191 $901,055 $901,720 $919,855 $990,592 $841,593 9% -7%
Richmond Hill $1,345,898 $1,401,922 $1,466,884 $1,439,065 $1,675,661 $1,584,327 $1,412,443 -5% -15%
Vaughan $1,280,906 $1,392,781 $1,348,649 $1,273,340 $1,333,412 $1,479,774 $1,191,632 7% -13%
Whitchurch Stouffville $928,551 $1,159,545 $1,024,941 $1,096,864 $1,255,011 $1,343,913 $1,048,658 -11% -31%
Ajax $684,011 $696,604 $708,185 $679,180 $752,997 $814,521 $646,370 6% -16%
Brock $432,318 $513,579 $508,615 $734,896 $706,307 $531,986 $419,758 3% -19%
Oshawa $516,459 $516,904 $550,677 $508,039 $530,780 $570,536 $467,981 10% -9%
Pickering $790,733 $869,546 $812,643 $810,351 $897,685 $668,723 $772,399 2% 18%
Scugog $614,678 $594,062 $719,375 $673,489 $675,887 $673,314 $545,804 13% -9%
Uxbridge $1,031,295 $957,221 $792,233 $793,853 $896,281 $931,841 $798,749 29% 11%
Whitby $695,352 $745,222 $733,811 $765,260 $815,993 $804,322 $618,032 13% -14%
Orangeville $538,518 $594,636 $612,974 $566,438 $585,717 $591,279 $490,825 10% -9%
Innisfil $525,685 $541,274 $549,492 $593,208 $575,940 $762,901 $476,756 10% -31%

Stats above courtesy of TREB Market Watch Report

Toronto House Prices — MLS City Districts Home Price Comparison
TREB District City of Toronto Avg Price October Avg Price Sept Avg Price August Average Price April 2016 Avg Price April 2017 Avg Price Mar 2017 Avg Price Feb 2017 Price Change Since Feb 2017
Toronto W01 $1,709,593 $1,652,600 $1,146,500 $1,405,442 $1,506,333 $1,543,961 $1,496,501 14.2%
Toronto W02 $1,273,391 $1,280,867 $1,172,250 $1,331,780 $1,538,546 $1,381,945 $1,269,501 0.3%
Toronto W03 $741,391 $771,142 $692,125 $666,904 $854,316 $829,396 $819,572 -9.5%
Toronto W04 $840,110 $850,621 $846,775 $786,951 $1,024,908 $1,073,531 $1,049,570 -20.0%
Toronto W05 $874,660 $805,031 $823,767 $749,333 $930,876 $1,073,531 $889,235 -1.6%
Toronto W06 $922,286 $992,023 $797,392 $795,840 $974,420 $1,128,584 $966,571 -4.6%
Toronto W07 $1,474,725 $1,277,336 $973,250 $1,112,233 $1,484,406 $1,352,042 $1,437,219 2.6%
Toronto W08 $1,356,671 $1,247,374 $1,161,882 $1,204,013 $1,544,869 $1,610,163 $1,491,329 -9.0%
Toronto W09 $975,778 $922,000 $1,139,211 $839,479 $1,197,627 $1,115,970 $1,019,588 -4.3%
Toronto W10 $688,011 $661,357 $665,268 $613,488 $831,579 $802,909 $758,259 -9.3%
Toronto C01 $1,393,875 $1,430,667 $1,005,000 $1,528,085 $1,646,240 $1,694,333 $2,352,876 -40.8%
Toronto C02 $2,313,611 $2,242,400 $2,242,750 $1,580,181 $2,710,038 $2,170,853 $2,443,750 -5.3%
Toronto C03 $1,880,584 $1,742,200 $1,317,111 $1,761,787 $2,246,734 $2,473,608 $2,747,397 -31.6%
Toronto C04 $2,220,546 $2,212,838 $2,200,398 $2,033,140 $2,583,667 $2,245,813 $2,469,565 -10.1%
Toronto C06 $1,243,727 $1,327,467 $1,445,556 $1,318,750 $1,625,779 $1,811,183 $1,516,558 -18.0%
Toronto C07 $1,741,987 $1,903,632 $1,776,771 $1,657,822 $2,004,585 $2,155,365 $1,922,347 -9.4%
Toronto C08 $814,000 $1,700,000 $1,603,333 $2,100,833 $1,625,000 $1,999,000 -59.3%
Toronto C09 $3,414,450 $2,916,750 $3,500,000 $2,998,401 $3,246,445 $4,481,000 $4,160,891 -17.9%
Toronto C10 $1,807,154 $1,747,079 $1,473,125 $1,864,333 $1,945,104 $1,786,091 $2,146,833 -15.8%
Toronto C11 $1,895,636 $2,137,000 $1,547,000 $1,542,867 $2,275,117 $2,201,462 $2,162,613 -12.3%
Toronto C12 $3,775,636 $5,160,518 $3,910,000 $3,141,244 $3,969,281 $4,420,370 $3,986,692 -5.3%
Toronto C13 $1,520,151 $2,110,709 $1,788,465 $1,926,266 $2,606,111 $2,108,137 $2,204,960 -31.1%
Toronto C14 $2,001,750 $2,249,879 $3,055,823 $1,996,137 $2,554,047 $2,673,112 $2,746,606 -27.1%
Toronto C15 $1,944,667 $1,832,921 $1,602,033 $1,766,219 $2,144,120 $2,108,137 $2,145,518 -9.4%
Toronto E01 $1,135,156 $1,196,542 $1,224,440 $1,164,343 $1,747,894 $1,206,359 $1,221,833 -7.1%
Toronto E02 $1,494,639 $1,625,074 $1,414,357 $1,333,475 $1,458,167 $1,507,090 $1,622,159 -7.9%
Toronto E03 $1,023,487 $1,038,377 $956,448 $947,611 $1,099,537 $1,121,847 $1,134,094 -9.8%
Toronto E04 $768,002 $794,523 $772,883 $717,890 $897,304 $889,018 $928,362 -17.3%
Toronto E05 $1,019,362 $979,800 $995,190 $991,136 $1,249,824 $1,303,892 $1,262,751 -19.3%
Toronto E06 $766,159 $926,615 $841,995 $766,782 $1,051,918 $1,102,286 $940,073 -18.5%
Toronto E07 $897,653 $1,025,444 $922,600 $874,280 $1,164,819 $1,142,611 $1,111,507 -19.2%
Toronto E08 $1,014,526 $852,070 $872,641 $810,560 $1,066,868 $1,092,667 $1,025,958 -1.1%
Toronto E09 $739,871 $690,382 $699,646 $664,378 $855,363 $895,417 $855,064 -13.5%
Toronto E10 $897,856 $944,666 $883,852 $821,126 $1,067,925 $1,069,906 $981,789 -8.5%
Toronto E11 $758,288 $778,100 $780,618 $720,672 $842,414 $851,750 $761,409 -0.4%

If you examine the latest house price trends in the GTA, you’ll see moderation, yet not all TREB districts saw reductions. In some areas, they’re still climbing almost in defiance of any market meddling.

For sellers, the agonizing questions of whether they should sell now, is being solved. They held on to get the highest price and are eager now to unload their property. Some got too greedy and are accepting up to $300k less than last spring’s offers. Timing is everything in real estate.

A lack of housing supply will keep prices up for many years ahead. The Ontario governmet is more concerned with rising rents than it is in encouraging new construction.  Rent contorls are already drying up up the availability of rental properties.

Currently, the condo market is thriving, however once the new construction condos have been sold and occupied, prices overall will climb.




Home Price Index for Toronto vs rest of Canada courtesy of Terranet National Bank housing index.

Toronto Home Prices june 2017

That Old House means so much more to buyers. They have the vision, the dream and they’re willing part with $1.5 million to live the dream. If you’ve got a home to sell right now, you need to hire a Realtor and capitalize on this glorious market opportunity.

The Mindset of Homeowners Who Need to Move on

Realtors need to be more psychologically aware and effective by adopting the mindset and vocabulary of the very people who move on. What words, phrases, images and activities do optimistic home sellers use? Retirees and 45+ people have priorities. Find them and speak their dreams.

And if you’re thinking of selling your Toronto home you need to use that vocabulary too. There is an incredible array of lifestyle opportunities for you. The world has never offered so much for the International home buyer. No homes in Ontario? No problem, beautiful places such as Costa Rica, Belize, Nicaragua, Mexico, Chile, and Dominican Republic await.

Why do people settle for a lesser life than they can have?

When Will Toronto’s Market Crash?

There may not be a crash, but no one is saying that for sure.

The Toronto Housing crisis is one partly of homeowners never dreaming that they get this kind of ROI out of the old house they bought. None of us were trained or educated for this opportunity. The result is too many older people hanging onto their homes, more out of being confused and unprepared to progress with their lives.

If you have a good Toronto Realtor, you really can sell your home at above expectations. Above asking is easy. Don’t even mention above asking, since everyone is using the lowball strategy to create bidding wars. Houses are selling for outrageous prices because Realtors are smart about building big demand from the right people.




Best Return Ever in Toronto

Even with foreign buyers out of the picture, demand for housing is huge in Toronto. From Mississauga, to Newmarket to Vaughan and Oshawa, people crave homes. And single detached homes with yards are the holy grail. So rare, so pleasant and rewarding some will sell their soul to the devil to be a homeowner. You don’t have to sell the joy of ownership theme to them.

So what are you doing right now to move forward and capitalize on the “Best Investment Return ever?” It’s not too late. I hope you’re contacting a good Realtor right now and beginning the selling preparation process.

Don’t sell your house in 3 days. Take your time and sell it for $75,000 more. It’s your hard earned investment and you deserve the best. Always think highly of yourself. Your Realtor will have lots of ideas about how to make the buyers very happy and contented. The improvements on your home for instance will add value and carry them forward.

I’ve written a variety of posts on selling your house, how now is the time to sell your house, and about retiring pleasantly in Central America. Time to travel, time to really enjoy life away from the city, and your time to celebrate your life. Sell that home!

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Home Sellers Pricing Guide – Getting A Better Sales Price is All About Strategy

How Sell Your Home for the Best Price in 2018

The market is heating up and like so many homeowners, you’re wondering if this is the right time to sell? And what will your home sell for in 2018?

The latest MLS sales reports show that most listings in the hot Toronto, Vancouver, Los Angeles, San Francisco, San Diego, Houston, Seattle, and Miami regions for instance, tend to sell over asking price. That means the seller got more than they were asking for. That’s a nice bonus that actually vaporizes the cost of selling of your home. You get your cake and you get to eat it too.

On the other hand, you could end up selling too late, as you’ll note in the Calgary Housing Forecast.

Have Your Cake and Eat it Too!
Selling at 3% to 10% above asking price tastes this good!

We’ve seen years of homeowners all playing the waiting game, hoping for the market to fully ripen before they harvest. It looks like the fall harvest has arrived. But will sellers get what they’re asking for or more? Will they be too late?

How to Get the Best Price for Your Home?

For those of you in hot markets, the price you ask for is just a starting point on the way to the price you’ll ultimately receive. The key to maximizing the return on your real estate investment is in how your Realtor conducts marketing for your property — not in high pressure negotiation which brings smaller gains.




It’s important to know what to look for in a good Realtor so you don’t get unpleasant surprises and have to work with a poorly qualified buyer.  Big sales prices come out of strategy and targetting well qualified buyers – not last minute tactics.

The Market Changes Month to Month

Right now you may not get the all-cash offer from a wealthy buyer. Instead you may have to sell to someone who saw your mls listing, or who is financing the purchase, or who is buying conditionally. When you cancel out all the “on the edge” tire kicker type buyers, you’re left with a small number of well qualified prospects. These are the ones you want to market to strategically, and whom your Realtor should have fixed on his/her radar.

What does a thorough, effective Realtor Marketing Service Package Look Like? Definitely take a look.

Home Pricing Tips to Help You Get Your Price

Home Pricing Tip #1

Sell at a lower price than you want to.  If you price high, few will be interested. If you price low, you’ll get a herd of tire kickers and your real buyers will be more motivated to get an offer in. It’s a common practice and in this era, it’s a fool proof approach. In fact, the bidding war news stories you’ve heard about likely were priced low.

Home Pricing Tip #2

Have Your Realtor do a Foolproof Market Evaluation. Your Realtor’s free market evaluation will generate a price, but it won’t always get the comps right.  Your Realtor will look for similar homes and it’s important to know why they sold for the price they did. Your Realtor likely knows what’s happened and will be ready to utilize that knowledge.

Home Pricing Tip #3

Set the asking price just below a round number.  Sell at $105 lower than a major number. If your house could sell for $1 million, don’t just price it at $999,995.00 Everyone is familiar with that pricing trick. Instead, take the third last number down by $5. So your new price would be $999,895.00 Psychologically, that 8 stands out. It looks like a nice discount when in fact, it’s only $105.

“Our study suggests that by using the just below pricing strategy sellers can price their home slightly higher without driving away potential buyers,” says Eli Beracha, author of a study published in the Journal of Housing Research. “As a result, they end up selling their house for more.” The study revealed a 2.5 to 3% increase in sold price.

Home Pricing Tip #4

Many homebuyers look for homes for sale in a certain price range that varies from city to city. In Toronto where the average price of a single detached home might be $1.4 million, a home priced just below $1 million is going to be found by more home searchers. Your first goal is maximimum visibility since you’re likely to get a better offer from 100 people than you are from only 15 people.

Home Pricing Tip #5

Create a home marketing plan and a home pricing contingency plan with your Realtor or a marketer before you put it up for sale. You want a marketing campaign that’s going to ensure 100%, that you get maximum exposure and the very best price. Better safe than sorry! If you price low and your Realtor relies only on the MLS and his own small circle of buyers, you could be in for disappointing bids.




Home Pricing Tip #6

Definitely go for a bidding war. Ensure your home’s most salient features, the ones buyers drool over, are clearly explained and shown in photos and video. Ensure your Realtor has good exposure online, has a great website, is advertising, and looks like they’ve got their stuff together. Everyone’s should know you’re selling your house in this market of desperate buyers.

Home Pricing Tip #7

Use hi definition photography, video and 3D home tours. People look online, and the impact you make is key to getting call from prospective buyers. Some videos are spectacular and the cost might be very reasonable. Seeing is believing and when you’re transparent, the buyers know they’re not wasting their time. Their time is just as valuable as yours.

Home Pricing Tip #8

Listen to your Realtor’s pricing strategy. If they’re experienced, they know how the selling game is played. All Realtors say they can close any prospect, but it’s just not true. They should be able to explain the jist of how to get the home priced right and how to negotiate with buyers.

Home Pricing Tip #9

Have your home professionally staged. Get your stuff out of there and let them bring in the furniture and dressings to appeal to the targeted buyer. It’s another cost, but if your marketing and pricing plan is good, you’ll easily recover that money.

Home Pricing Tip #10

Time your open houses well and advertise heavily during that time. There will be buyers driving around and they may be using a variety of house hunting apps on their smartphone. Buyers are desperate and thorough these days. Don’t rely on the MLS listings only.

Home Pricing Tip #11

Ensure your listing is well advertised and that your open house is visible via Google. If you know of a real estate blog that is high trafficked, advertise on it, or better yet ensure your open house listing page is indexed in Google and optimized for “open houses + city name, or neighborhood”




Home Pricing Tip #12

In your marketing, ensure you’re not just selling a house – a big box made of wood and cement. You need to evoke the buyer’s dreams because a home is all about dreams. Dreams are why some buyers will pay $1 million over asking.

Home Pricing Studies and Resources:

http://www.builderonline.com/money/prices/left-digit-in-sale-price-affects-home-buyers-most_o

http://realtormag.realtor.org/daily-news/2016/08/12/study-reveals-best-real-estate-pricing-strategy

“http://globalnews.ca/news/3162259/toronto-house-sells-for-more-than-1m-over-asking-amid-record-year-for-home-sales/”

“http://www.theglobeandmail.com/real-estate/mortgages-and-rates/top-10-ways-to-win-a-real-estate-bidding-war/article4559578/?page=all”

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I welcome all inquiries from businesses in Los Angeles, Phoenix, Denver, Seattle, Chicago, Boston, New York, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, Austin, St Louis, Minneapolis, Green Bay, Charlotte, Tampa, Miami, Orlando, Toronto, Vancouver, Montreal, Ottawa, Oshawa, Hamilton, Newmarket, Richmond Hill, Oakville, Calgary, Kelowna, Mississauga, Anaheim, Beverly Hills, Malibu, San Diego, San Francisco, San Jose, Fresno, Santa Clara, Sacramento, Mountainview, Palo Alto, Portland, Washington, Atlanta, Irvine, Nashville, Sunnyvale, Salt Lake City, Riverside, Rancho Cucamonga, Costa Mesa, Thousand Oaks, Simi Valley, Raleigh, Albuquerque, Glendale, Oceanside, Long Beach, Huntington Beach, Carlsbad, Santa Clarita,  Henderson, Mesa, Temecula, Kirkland, Redmond, Kansas City, St Louis, Stockton, Scottsdale, Palm Springs, Indianapolis, Columbus, Colorado Springs, Fort Worth, Chula Vista, Escondido, Santa Monica, Miami Beach, and Honolulu.

 

 

 

Mississauga Real Estate Forecast 2018 ⌂ Housing Market Update November

Mississauga Real Estate Update & Housing Outlook

Mississauga is a great city to invest in and live in.  The fall market saw a small resurgence in sales in the city, and due to a paucity of houses for sale in Mississauga, Oakville, Etobicoke, Milton, and Port Credit, prices are almost certainly going to rise after the winter of 2018.

Prices of luxury homes fell dramatically in many regions and that skewed price reports as buyers actually abandoned house searches to focus on condos.

Now that the stress test reduction has lowered demand for homes over $700k, we’ll likely see price pressure on any homes under $700k (tongue in cheek). Well, okay there are no homes under $700k.



Average Detached Home Prices Mississauga Region – December 2017
City December 2017 November 2017 October 2017 September 2017 August 2017 July 2017 May 2017 April 2016 Price Change Last 18 months Price Change Last 8 Months
Burlington $959,071 $871,879 $895,457 $974,446 $944,564 $921,434 $1,083,144 $961,502 -0.3% -11.5%
Halton Hills $820,904 $790,683 $787,517 $706,500 $984,812 $819,770 $825,058 $828,719 -0.9% -0.5%
Milton $843,688 $841,998 $884,144 $853,790 $866,650 $875,123 $932,899 $765,973 10.1% -9.6%
Oakville $1,356,888 $1,438,656 $1,482,620 $1,393,860 $1,314,363 $1,368,523 $1,561,514 $1,191,503 13.9% -13.1%
Brampton $763,814 $776,280 $775,170 $766,132 $766,831 $750,856 $871,052 $660,015 15.7% -12.3%
Caledon $1,185,182 $1,001,753 $952,466 $918,712 $1,028,591 $1,083,138 $1,190,527 $755,494 56.9% -0.4%
Mississauga $1,140,965 $1,060,211 $1,034,338 $1,023,207 $1,066,015 $1,113,952 $1,136,083 $966,467 18.1% 0.4%

Mississauga has undergone a dramatic change in the last 10 years. A gigantic leap in housing prices along with an explosion of new condo developments has created a strong real estate market. Whatever your price, you’ll sell your home.

A new survey of business and consumer confidence is high, and buyers will find a way to finance the purchase of your home. If you’re asking, “Should I sell my house?“, the answer is probably yes.

Prices have consistently risen, right through the recession, and given the lack of housing available and strong economy and immigration trends, home and cond prices will likely climb.  For real estate investors, any property close to the city of Toronto will retain its value. Some districts have actually seen shocking rises in average price.




mississauga
Outlook for the City of Mississauga 2017

Speculation about how the Toronto housing market will fare in 2018 is driven by extreme lack availability, weakening construction, and a new government in July. Experts and real estate afficionados are pushing their positions on either side of the boom or crash issue. And as Toronto goes, so goes Mississauga.

“A strong economy and continued inflow of workers into the (GTA), combined with a prolonged shortage of homes for sale, have created a market where high, single-digit price appreciation remains the norm,” said Royal LePage senior vice-president Gino Romanese. “We expect to see another year of healthy price appreciation in 2016, although at a slightly diminished pace when compared to 2015, as the dynamics driving the GTA market right now seem unlikely to change in the short-term.”– from a report on Mississaugah.com

 

Sharing is Good for Your Social Health!

Check out the stats below and send this post to your friends and contacts who may be wondering if now is the right time to sell, before the housing crash. You can get your price this spring.




Is it Boomtimes or a Crash Ahead?

It’s now 2018 and it’s still a sellers market in Mississauga. Talk of a Toronto Real Estate crash continues.  Check out the crash indicators now.

Forecasting sales volume and housing prices in Toronto or Mississauga is fraught with some tough challenges. Despite the economic uncertainty and the risk of fast soaring prices of detached houses, semi-detached homes and condos for sale in Mississauga, I’ve collated some data provided by TREB to give us some projected prices for next year.

If 2018 is a repeat of 2016, then these estimated prices might be reasonably accurate. November’s estimate was only off by a couple thousand. If the market tanks because of unforeseen factors, well, then I guess everyone’s forecast will miss the mark.

Is this the right year to buy rental income property in Mississauga, Toronto, Richmond Hill, Vaughan, or Newmarket?  Rents in the GTA are skyrocketing. Find out more about the best investments in 2017 including investing in real estate.

Some stats from the lastest update provided by the Toronto Real Estate Board helps us understand what might happen in 2017, 2018 and beyond.

Surprisingly, the MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) Composite Benchmark rose in Mississauga and Peel region year over year. As you can see condos and apartments are in hot demand with a consistently high selling price.

Prediction: Toronto home owners will sell their home and move north to Bradford, Newmarket, and Vaughan.

Graphic courtesy of Trebhome.com

Buyers with a long term view have little to fear about the value of a home or condo in Mississauga.

finposthomestoronto2017
The Relentless Rise of Toronto Home Prices – 100% growth in 10 years. Screen capture courtesy of the Financial Post.

canadian-interest-rates

Is inflation in Canada a threat to derail the Toronto and Mississauga housing markets? The rates have been steady for quite a while with only a gradual increase for several years. It looks like there may be a small increase however it’s not expected to be enough to upset the housing market in 2018.

Graphic courtesy of inflation.eu Graphic courtesy of inflation.eu

Why Move to Amazing Mississauga?

Mississauga enjoys close proximity to Toronto, Toronto International Airport and the major highways of 401, 407, and the QEW.  Mississauga has had the lowest taxes of any town or city within the GTA for many years. Mississauga also possesses a lot of land for development. There is brownfield land for residential and commercial development and there are older buildings and properties that could be developed. Mississauga has the best attitude toward business development. Lower startup costs and high market access, makes it ideal for immigrant investors wanting break into the Canadian and US market.

towers
Developers rendering of The Absolute Condominium Towers on Hurontario Street in Mississauga near City Centre

If you’re a buyer with an eye on launching a business or moving here to the Toronto area to work, Mississauga may be the most intelligent choice. The city has enjoyed phenomenal growth of late, which is most noticeable in Mississauga’s urban core area near Hurontario St. and Burnhamthorpe Rd which is located in the more south eastern area of Mississauga.  The beautiful scenery of Lake Ontario and the night life of Toronto are very close by.

It’s difficult to have a successful economy and community unless your real estate sector is thriving and enabling the development of homes and businesses. Mississauga grows because of the pro-business sentiment here. If home and condos prices are lower in Mississauga, it’s because there’s more land to use.

Communities such as Oakville, Milton, and most districts in Toronto have less usable land and that drives up prices. Home prices are still very reasonable in this city. If you’re a first time buyer who doesn’t mind a little commute to work, Mississauga gives you a chance to own a home or condo for hundreds of thousands of dollars less than other communities in the GTA.

There is a shortage of homes for sale in Mississauga. To buy one, you’ll need a creative Realtor who knows how to get homeowners to look ahead and let go of their house.  Today, you need a good Realtor to find a home. Contact me and I can connect you with someone who is competent and whom you can trust.

housing-starts-peel-region
Screen Capture courtesy of PeelRegion.ca

Housing Starts in Mississauga

Mississauga can make your dreams of home ownership in Canada come true. The employment stats and modern lifestyle, great schools, and good transportation options offer everything you need to launch and grow your family. Living here gives you a better chance at quaifiying for a home mortgage and having a financially sustainable lifestyle. Compare this to other communities with high home prices and higher unemployment, and you’ll note how Mississauga is a less risky option.

housing-starts-peel-region2Mississauga is the largest city in the region of Peel. Other municipalities in Peel, including Brampton and Caledon have plenty of room to grow, and this may be why prices are lower here.  Single new home construction starts in Peel are up, yet multifamily dwellings appear to be declining. Could be small home builders are persisting in making a profit ahead of large project developers. All part of a health local economy.

However, this graphic below shows that construction starts of new single detached homes in Mississauga have plummeted from 2015. This will put upward pressure on prices of homes for sale on the resale market (Mississauga mls). Peel Region reports that these 478 home construction starts is the lowest in many years.




Will Population and Employment growth In Peel Region support Real Estate Prices

peel-region-population-growth Screen Capture courtesy of Peelregion.ca

This graphic from Mississauga.ca/data has one signifiant stat: that 93% of employed people here are in full time jobs.

Screen Capture courtesy of City of Mississauga's 2016 EMPLOYMENT PROFILE Screen Capture courtesy of City of Mississauga’s 2016 EMPLOYMENT PROFILE

Apartment Construction Expected to Grow 

This stat from the City of Mississauga’s (Mississauga Growth Forecast Housing 2008 – 2031 report), suggests they expect a huge growth in multi-unit apartment buildings to begin in 2016. The current forecast shows less growth in apartment construction. However, with housing availability at a premium, perhaps condo and apartment units will grow in number to support the population.

city-mississauga-housing-forecast

peel-region-employment-growth Screen Capture courtesy of Peelregion.ca city-mississauga-housing-forecast-byneighbourhood Housing Unit Growth Chart courtesy of Ciy of Mississauga – Forecast from 2008 report

mississaugahousinggrowthforecastbyneighbourhood
Chart courtesy of City of Mississauga Growth Forecast Report 2008

Looking for Vacant Land in Mississauga

There’s lots of land vacant in Mississauga, however you may find much of it is not zoned for housing, or zoned for intensive housing developments. You can find out more at their Vacant Land Profile.

Screen capture courtesy of the City of Mississauga Screen capture courtesy of the City of Mississauga

Mississauga and Market Update for November 2016

There were 976 homes of all type sold in November in Mississauga (down almost 200 units) for a total dollar volume of $634,683,402 at average price of $658,925. Last November, there were slightly less homes of all types sold (921) for a total transaction value of $518,573,645 and the average price was $547,770. Year to year price increase over all on average was $103,000.

mississauga-salesnov0216

The TREB home price index tells us Mississauga still has the best opportunities for buyers and investors with a composite year over year price growth of 20.3%. If the GTA economy rolls along, will Mississauga become the new price growth leader?




With Millennial aged buyers coming into their family formation and house buying years, we can predict this group will put upward pressure on home prices in Mississauga. Homes are currently selling for 2% above asking price on average, compared to 1% less than asking price in October of 2015.

Mississauga Home Prices Chart

Below you can see how the average prices of detached homes, semi-detached and condos have risen, along with my forecast prices in bold. According to Treb’s Mississauga home price update, the latest price of detached homes in Mississauga for November 2016 is up $54,000 from last month. My own forecasted future prices in bold are based on the growth in price from 2015 to 2016.

Detached Homes Sold in Mississauga
Mississauga 2017f Mississauga 2016 Mississauga 2015
December $1,215,186 $1,039,769 $868,380
November $1,213,892 $1,065,387 $902,942
October $1,216,388 $1,009,971 $838,582
September $1,258,510 $1,001,903 $802,764
August $1,237,037 $976,233 $792,015
July $1,224,099 $984,522 $808,646
June $1,194,263 $985,210 $829,959
May $1,158,020 $973,179 $844,679
April $1,167,678 $966,467 $830,884
March $1,136,321 $939,086 $827,720
February $1,110,843 $889,524 $798,926
January $1,111,825 $852,888 $761,900
Condos Sold in Mississauga
Mississauga 2017f Mississauga 2016 Mississauga 2015
December $550,094 $466,876 $408,848
November $574,826 $497,259 $425,802
October $575,479 $483,830 $406,777
September $606,989 $485,240 $387,012
August $565,024 $463,546 $394,454
July $541,985 $470,846 $419,084
June $533,831 $458,657 $413,571
May $541,431 $446,376 $395,358
April $517,881 $433,858 $402,285
March $546,107 $429,995 $375,597
February $544,346 $424,538 $371,572
January $533,076 $406,787 $362,859
Semi Detached Homes Sold in Mississauga
Mississauga 2017f Mississauga 2016 Mississauga 2015
December $752,365 $644,713 $552,464
November $752,927 $666,809 $533,040
October $752,220 $649,991 $557,742
September $768,443 $649,347 $545,420
August $748,526 $628,976 $539,870
July $754,994 $624,899 $531,161
June $729,609 $613,770 $539,190
May $727,855 $611,731 $538,537
April $743,419 $610,651 $525,680
March $722,889 $586,021 $517,046
February $685,647 $563,037 $524,877
January $703,068 $549,753 $496,998

The 2nd quarter of the year (April, May, June) is commonly the most brisk time for buying and selling homes in Mississauga. These stats below reveal and almost 15% increase year over year. The southern most communities on the Northern shore of Lake Ontario had very high price increases year over year.

 Community Sales Volume 2nd Quarter 2016 Avg Price Sales Volume 2nd Quarter 2015 Avg Price Year to Year Increase %
Mississauga Total 3880 $648,902 3670 $564,898.00 14.87%
Lisgar 191 $684,256 164 $570,554.00 19.93%
Churchill Meadows 311 $696,378 308 $601,684.00 15.74%
Western Business Park 0
Meadowvale 258 $529,524 220 $445,083.00 18.97%
Meadowvale Business Park 0
Streetsville 81 $716,694 56 $544,594.00 31.60%
Central Erin Mills 158 $780,193 193 $654,322.00 19.24%
Erin Mills 245 $683,655 223 $623,228.00 9.70%
Sheridan Park 0 1
Sheridan 71 $943,030 66 $939,655.00 0.36%
Southdown 0
Clarkson 139 $798,627 171 $633,160.00 26.13%
Lorne Park 111 $1,444,628 90 $1,236,229.00 16.86%
Meadowvale Village 165 $755,922 154 $652,162.00 15.91%
East Credit 268 $767,183 245 $664,031.00 15.53%
Creditview 38 $656,815 46 $569,183.00 15.40%
Mavis-Erindale 3 $1,005,833 0
Erindale 128 $635,394 100 $585,369.00 8.55%
Gateway 0
Hurontario 308 $539,771 298 $472,899.00 14.14%
City Centre 449 $323,932 398 $297,012.00 9.06%
Fairview 30 $517,496 40 $592,248.00 -12.62%
Mississauga Valleys 137 $415,141 122 $373,867.00 11.04%
Cooksville 171 $486,128 158 $454,092.00 7.05%
Mineola 66 $1,321,843 53 $1,210,223.00 9.22%
Port Credit 47 $900,310 55 $705,185.00 27.67%
Malton 144 $485,141 151 $424,426.00 14.31%
Northeast 1 2
Airport Corporate 0
Rathwood 94 $661,293 88 $559,067.00 18.29%
Applewood 148 $579,812 132 $494,232.00 17.32%
Dixie 0 5 $495,580.00
Lakeview 118 $782,080 131 $654,881.00 19.42%




This report on the Mississauga Real Estate outlook is updated monthly. Please Bookmark this page and return.

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Toronto Housing Market Report November 2016

Toronto Home Prices Soar Again

The Toronto Real Estate Board has released their November 2016 MLS sales report which includes home prices in the Greater Toronto market. Sales are up 16.5% from last November, and home prices rose by 22.7% YoY. It’s a scary time for investors, and perhaps a tougher time for millennial aged couples trying to buy their first home.

This may be the right time to sell your home. Who will market your home?  From SEO, to Content marketing and paid advertising, and aerial drone video, digital marketing can start bidding wars.

Buyers, are you still thinking the stock market is better than real estate? See this post for more perspective on the Toronto Real Estate market and 2017 forecast.




Is 2017 the best year to buy rental income property?  Find out more about the best real estate investments in 2017 including investments in real estate.

The TREB November market update shows Home prices in Mississauga were also up 20.8% overall. While most eyes are glued to the price of detached homes in Toronto, the sales of apartment condos continue an even more torrid pace, up 27.9% in sales volume, perhaps revealing a continuing strong condo apartment rental investment market similar to the one burning up San Franscisco and the Bay Area of California. Not surprisingly, Richmond Hill, Newmarket, and Aurora leads the GTA price rise parade. These 3 top performers had detached home price rises near or above 30% YoY. Richmond Hill home prices hit an astonishing $1.3 Million. Brampton lead the way with a 25% price growth for townhouses.




trebchartnovemberpriceindex

Mississauga Real Estate Brokers

Ready to Sell? My client Damir Strk is a licensed Realtor and Mortgage Broker with extensive experience across the GTA including downtown Toronto condos. He specializes in Mississauga, and can also represent you very well whether you’re in York Region, Toronto, and Oakville and Milton. He’s a great choice for the biggest financial decision of your life. Damir has 16 years experience in all housing types, including Mississauga’s many condo developments, very familiar with properties in Mississauga’s many communities, and can help advise you on mortgage financing. Contact Damir now at: (905) 828-3434.

damir

Real Estate Investors

Investors from Germany, China and Persia may find the market perfect for rental income investment. Buyers within Canada are finding the market too far out of reach. The extreme prices could make it more likely local and the provincial government may attempt to intervene without addressing the issues of lack of available land. The places to grow legislation and the OMB will be put under more intense scrutiny.

“Home buying activity remained strong across all market segments in November. However, many would-be home buyers continued to be frustrated by the lack of listings, as annual sales growth once again outstripped growth in new listings. Seller’s market conditions translated into robust rates of price growth,” said Mr. Cerqua Toronto Real Estate Board President.




See more on Mississauga homes prices and on the Toronto real estate market predictions.

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