US Housing Market Predictions – Real Estate Market Forecast 2018

Real Estate and Housing Forecast 2018, 2019,  2020

May 18, 2018.  Your Epic report and forecast of the 2018/2019 US housing market offers facts, data, perspective, predictions, price factors, expert opinion and forecasted trends from sources such as NAR, Trulia, Freddie Mac, Zillow, Case Shiller, Trading Economics, and more.

With home prices and mortgage rates on the rise, compare what you’ll be paying vs future mortage rates. Shop for the lowest mortgage rate now.

In this updated report and forecast:

  1. March and April market update
  2. Hottest cities to buy
  3. NAR/Realtor Outlook on the Housing Market
  4. Home price update and predictions
  5. US economic outlook – Tradingeconomics data
  6. Urban Land Institute panel discussion Video
  7. Freddie Mac Forecasts
  8. Jobs report and forecast
  9. Interest rates and mortgage rates
  10. Apartment rental prices and forecast

NAR reports that existing home sales grew in April, 1.1% which is well up from the 1.2% loss 12 months ago.  See the NAR charts below for others stats and which are the hottest markets for April.




Spring Market is Starting Strong

It’s an unusual spring market given the growing purchasing power of home buyers in low to mid market prices. That makes it a great market for those looking to sell their current home to trade up to a better one.

Hopefully you have a top notch strategy to sell your home for a higher price.  Sell it quick, but with a bidding war strategy.

Resale home transactions rose 1.1% in March showing clealy that buyers are hungry to buy.  However, listings have declined 7.2% and prices have risen 5.8% versus  last March.

It’s a sellers market and it will be for some time. If you’re hunting for houses for sale, you’d better have an advanced search strategy.

The dwindling numbers of homes for sale should push prices upward in Los Angeles, San Diego, Boston, Denver, Las Vegas, Dallas, Miami, Seattle, New York, and Houston . It’s all driven by a wildly successful economy and a resistance by local and state governments to support home development in their jurisdictions.




Please feel free to use this material on Linkedin and Facebook. It’s an important topic for buyers and sellers who face a big decision about buying a home or condo in 2018 as home prices and mortgage rates rise.

NAR’s March Update

Homes sales have risen for 2 months straight, however they’re down 1.1% from same time last year.  Although prices haven’t hit the 2007 records, they are too high for most to afford even though wages have grown. Home prices are now running at double the average wage increase.

The median existing-home price for all housing types in March was $250,400, up 5.8 percent from March 2017 ($236,600). March’s price increase marks the 73rd straight month of year-over-year gains — from NAR

Boston, New York, New Jersey

March existing-home sales in the Northeast jumped 6.3 percent to an annual rate of 680,000, but are still 9.3 percent below a year ago. The median price in the Northeast was $270,600, which is 3.3 percent above March 2017 – from NAR update.

Housing inventory is the most influential and persistent factor affecting home prices. Despite this, the media and some politicians blame speculation, building costs, interest and mortgage rates, cost of living, and mortgage rules. When the economy is good people want homes. Construction is strong but can’t keep up. Simple rule of supply vs demand is driving home prices.

Millennials still hopeful to buy a home in 2018

Looking for housing market predictions? Take a good look at prices, GDP, wages, jobs, and other key data below on the US Economy for the next 6 years and you may see a surprisingly positive picture, far from the dread of the recent stock market corrections.

Please do share this post on Facebook!

Should you Buy or Rent?

We all want to own a home, but does it  make more sense to rent? If you can’t afford a home in New York, Boston, Los Angeles, San Francisco, or Dallas, renting may be the only option. Here’s a few blog posts I’ve written on the US rental housing market, apartment prices, and on buying vs renting.

Buy vs Rent in 2019

What’s Driving the California Housing Market?

Strong demand from an eager demographic and economy is clashing with local resident NIMBYism to create a volatile market. See the California housing report.

This completely updated EPIC United States Housing Report has market updates and predictions for 2018 to 2020, and other data to 2026.

NAR’s VP of research Paul Bishop, predicts sales will be flat for 2018.

One of the biggest challenges is going to be in certain high-cost parts of the country where they have high home prices, relatively high property taxes or high state income taxes, then that’s ultimately going to make the cost of owning a home more expensive.

In addition, renters may lose the incentive to buy a home in high-cost areas if they can’t use the mortgage interest deduction or the ability to deduct some of those other housing-related costs from their taxes. It’s focused mostly on the higher cost areas. It’s certainly something that everyone will be monitoring and how the housing market reacts in 2018 and 2019  — from a news release on DSnews.com.




In this post, you’ll discover the hottest city markets, zip codes, get economic, employment, finance, and housing projections to understand the key fundamentals driving home buying, rental investment, home construction, and the real estate markets in 2018/2019 to 2026. Read thoroughly if you’re considering buying a house this year.

What’s the story for summer of 2018? It has to be Texas and Michigan, however the overall picture is of a very good spring and summer for the housing market nationwide and going forward to 2026. Population growth in San Francisco, Seattle, Los Angeles, Denver, Miami, Houston, Sacramento, Las Vegas and Phoenix continues strong.

The Complete Picture for 2018

Ready to choose your realtor and buy a house or condo this year? The outlook is really rosy! And how about investing in a rental income property for sustained passive income? This current lull might make the next 3 months the best time to buy. The outlook is as positive as could be for buyers. Lock in your mortgage rate.

Overall, predictions and outlook for the US housing market are positive. That’s because the US economy is on its strongest roll ever, bolstered by lower taxes, improved trading agreements, growing American confidence, happiness, comfort, freedom and the American dream has been kindled again.

Take a look at more detailed reports of major US city markets: Latest Posts: Sacramento Housing MarketSan Francisco Housing Market |  Boston Real Estate Market 2018 | Florida Housing Forecast 2018 | Miami Housing Market |  Los Angeles Real Estate Forecast | New York Real Estate Predictions | Houston Market Forecast  | Houston Real Estate Forecast | Seattle Housing Forecast

Apartment Rental Housing Market 2018

Are you considering buying homes for sale as an income investment?  With Apartment rent prices holding strong in 2018, it’s a solid investment strategy.

This graphic below courtesy of Trading Economics shows how the real estate market will be healthy for some time, and that buying a home is a wise investment (Tradingeconomics is a very informative site, have a visit afterward).

Increased government spending, low but slowly rising interest rates, and the repatriation of business and corporate funds back to the US means it’s a healthy, safe market for everyone.

Foreign investment has been strong because the world knows, the US is the place to be. American’s have always had a great attitude toward risk and business growth. Now the economy and business markets are allowing that spirit an opportunity to pay off.

NAR/Realtor Outlook on the Housing Market

Housing Indicator Realtor.com® 2018 Forecast
Home price appreciation 3.2% increase
Mortgage rate Average 4.6% mortage rates in 2018 to 5.0% (30 year fixed) by year end
Existing home sales 2.5% growth, low inventory problem easing
Housing starts 3% growth in home building 7% growth in houses
New home sales Growth of 7%
Home ownership rate Stabilizing at 63.9% nationally

Despite the market correction, experts feel this bull market could continue as long as business keeps coming back to the US. That’s a long process of repatriation. In the meantime, the jobs picture, wage growth, investment, and profit growth are giving real estate participants a lot of optimism.

The resistance to housing development is slowing. Conservatives are giving up amidst intense pressure by those facing outrageous housing shortages and skyrocketing rental prices.



Housing Shortages Won’t Ease

Although January’s sales were disappointing, it’s due to the severe shortage of housing. Demand is there and you’ll be competing against a hoard of buyers in 2018.  Corelogic expects 2018’s home prices will grow 4.3% by next December.  NAR and Realtors® expect only a 3% growth in prices this year. Nevada, Texas, Washington, and Florida are the states with the best outlook, and perhaps the best places to buy homes or rental properties.

The Bay Area, Portland, and Seattle areas saw the highest growth in prices last year while LA’s tumbled. Listings fell dramatically in cental California, Oregon, Washington, and New York.

Consumer mood was not so good in July of last year, mostly due to government problems. Yet the market came flying back. These challenges overcome mean more Americans will have more confidence in their personal situation.

The US Economy 2018/2019

These stats from Trading Economics show positive fundamentals that will drive growth in the housing market, and in turn will bolster the economy, since new household consumer spending and housing investment is a key driver of the economy.

The tax cuts should help although the Fed is counteracting that growth with a questionable raising of interest rates which seems to have sparked the sudden stock market volatility.  Although some disincentives are present for home buying in certain price ranges, that will help keep the market balanced for 2018.

Home prices should begin rising again this late spring in FloridaNew York , Boston, San DiegoHouston, MiamiSeattle, Bay Area and the rest of  overheated California.

Buyers and sellers will enjoy the market trends, stats, threats, and the key factors including housing construction starts described below. Enjoy the big picture!

Scroll down to see the stats, video, and charts on the strongest cities where you might buy or invest. And when is the best time to buy a house?

Sharing is Good! Share the Insight with others on FB and Linkedin

A brief overview of January 2018 from NAR.

Housing Demand 2018: More Buyers Joining the Party

Housing market demand predictions: Demand 2018 will see stronger demand as young buyers have more savings to invest in a home and are getting closeer to being able to purchase a home.




Housing demand is also being supplemented by bankruptcy survivors who waited out their 7 year exile joining first time buyer millennials, babyboomers, immigrants, foreign investors (Canadian and Chinese), and even gen Xers,  all of whom are looking for houses for sale.

New Home Construction Starts: Still Strong in 2018

New home building shows continued strengths, and should pick up by late spring when builders see a return of demand. Last February’s demand was also subdued.

The cost of living is rising and it means workers and businesses in cities such as New York, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Seattle, San Jose, Miami, San Diego, and Boston may migrate to cheaper cities such as Houston, Austin, and San Antonio. This is where job growth is best and housing is cheapest.

The price of apartment rental in cities such as Seattle, San Francisco, and San Jose Rents are extreme examples of the migration out of high priced areas. With limited housing and a strong economy, prices in San Francisco and the Bay Area cannot fall.

Inflation, Labor Shortages, and Building Supplies

Labor shortages, rising mortgage rates, and higher lumber costs are looming which could mean house prices will rise.  With nowhere to go, homeowners are resisting selling. The hope that the resale market will come to the rescue might be unrealistic and and perhaps even fewer resale houses will be for sale. This fall, new home sales have been brisk as reported by the Commerce Department.

Mortgage Rates on the Rise

15 year fixed rate mortgages are still a bargain compared to historical averages. A home at these interest rates has to be considered a big savings, compared to the added price.

Houses For Sale – Should You Buy or Sell in 2018?

The forecasts and predictions for housing markets in Boston, Los Angeles, San Francisco and the Bay Area, New York, Misami, Houston, Seattle, and San Diego etc. all suggest better times ahead.

See the post on the best cities to invest in real estate. Where can you find houses for sale with the best upside potential as a high return property investment?

Housing Experts Predictions and a Lot More

Let’s start off with the newly released 2018 Forecast from Freddie Mac.  The predict a good year ahead with a solid 5% growth in price. They note that the aging population could keep demand subdued although limited housing for sale should create upward price pressure.

Should buy or sell? See the specific market updates and predictions here: Los Angeles Real Estate forecast, San Francisco Bay Area forecast, New York Real Estate forecast, Boston Real Estate forecast, San Diego Real Estate forecast, Houston Texas Housing forecast, Seattle Real Estate forecast and the Miami Real Estate forecast. Bookmark this page for future monthly updates.




The need to refinance is low, homeowners aren’t too stressed out, and they’re using home equity to buy things which is good for the economy.  Overall, Freddie Mac’s report is positive for 2018.

Home Sales Expect to Rise Nationally

Freddie Mac Predicts strong sales driven by moderating prices nationally.

And as this graphic from Freddie Mac’s report shows, price appreciation is much less than before the last recession.

Hottest Real Estate Markets This Past Summer

According to NAR’s latest report, San Francisco is again the hottest city, taking back the number one spot from San Jose. The hottest small city is Vallejo California, enjoying a spillover from the Bay Area market.  Investors and buyers will be hard pressed to find buying opportunities are.

Silicon Valley prices will pressure businesses to look to cheaper cities such as San Antonio, Las Vegas, Houston, Austin, etc in 2018/2019.

Hottest Real Estate Markets in April 2018

Where are the hottest cities in the US? They’re all over this month and only 3 from California made the new top 20 list.

Screen Capture courtesy of Realtor.com

Hottest Cities for Investment Value

This chart from NAR shows where employment growth is strongest and the ratio of recent employment growth to homes being built. That’s a great stat for rental property investors looking for investment income in the best cities.

Compare that to wage growth and actual price appreciation. Again the Bay Area shows the best outlook for employment which has to be your top signal. However, rising oil prices and predictions for more, Texas may be your hottest state going through the summer.

Salt Lake City, Denver, Tampa, Dallas, Cape Coral/Naples, Charlotte, Las Vegas, Houston, San Diego, and Grand Rapids have great employment outlooks.





20 Hottest Housing Markets, January 2018 (Realtor.com) Rank (December) Rank Change Current Home Prices
San Francisco, CA 2 1 $1,249,000
San Jose, CA 1 -1 $875,000
Vallejo, CA 3 0 $390,000
Colorado Springs, CO 4 0 $270,000
Midland, TX 18 13 $265,000
San Diego, CA 6 0 $590,000
Santa Rosa, CA 7 1 $310,000
Sacramento, CA 8 2 $310,000
Denver, CO 11 2 $400,000
Stockton, CA 5 -5 $289,000
Modesto, CA 10 -1 $295,000
Dallas, TX 14 2 $360,000
Fresno, CA 12 -1 $205,000
Los Angeles, CA 16 2 $759,000
Columbus, OH 9 -6 $140,000
Chico, CA 29 13 $349,000
Oxnard, CA 21 4 $505,000
Santa Cruz, CA 27 9 $909,000
Detroit, MI 19 0 $349,000
Boise City, ID 26 6

Best cities for finding houses for sale and get a great return. For property investors or buyers with minimal cash, the cities of Kennewick, Detroit, Fort Wayne, Modesto, Fresno, and Waco look to offer the lowest prices on houses for sale. As usual, California and Texas lead the way, however Michigan is looking good with the President’s intention to bring the auto industry and related jobs back to the US.

In some markets such as Californiahome prices have leveled off a little from their relentless climb. There is a slight risk of a burst housing bubble. Outside of major city markets, the price growth potential in the next 5 years is highest. Some cities are hurting so invest carefully. Take a look at the best cities to invest in real estate and share your stories of which cities we should know about.

Here Panelists from the Urban Land Institution discusses 2017 and the next two year outlook:




Here’s 8 Reasons Why People Are Still Eager to Buy Real Estate:

  1. home prices are appreciating and it’s a safe investment over the long term
  2. millennials need a home to raise their families
  3. rents are high giving property owners excellent ROI on rental properties
  4. flips of older properties continue to create amazing returns
  5. real property is less risky (unless you get over leveraged)
  6. the economy is steady or improving (although Trump’s letting his enemies cause too much friction)
  7. foreigners including Canadians are eager to own US property
  8. bankrupt buyers are over their 7 year prohibition from the last recession and they can buy again.

Latest real estate market reports:

There are more renters now than in the last 30 years.

US homes are at their highest value ever

Foreign buyers buying record number of properties

Housing starts more than expected but not enough to fill demand

New Houses for sale dropped 3.4% in August

Resale houses for sale drops in August

How high can prices for houses for sale go in Southern California?

Read on to learn more about the economic fundamentals that suppport your purchase of real estate:

Buying and Selling — Is This the Right Time?

Are you selling your home? Speculation of a housing crash in Miami, State of FloridaLos Angeles, San Francisco Bay Area, Charlotte, San Diego, San Jose, Denver, Seattle, and many other overheated markets has more people listing their house or condo. Yet, the market is healthy, so there’s no emergency. Prices are stable so you won’t get much more by waiting.

Check out these other posts for homebuyers, investors, and realtors:

How to Sell Over Asking Price | 14 Ways to Improve Your Selling Price | When Should I Sell My Home? | Student Housing Investment | 10 Tips for Home Sellers Who Must Have the Best Price | Home Sellers Pricing Strategy | Better House Market Evaluation

Housing experts are predicting existing home sales of 6 to 6.5 million units in 2018 and then above 1.3 million new homes being built per month to 2024. The building is resuming now that the hurricanes and forest fires are over.

Will it be enough to support the economy? When American builders are feeling optimistic, it’s a good omen, however 1.5 million units per month is needed to fill forecasted demand for housing.

What’s also a good omen is what you’re going to read in this post. It may help you do many things in 2018, from finding employment (see the US Jobs forecast), to understanding politics, discovering high performing best investments 2017 to researching the best cities to live or buy houses or property in.

From Los Angeles to New York to Miami – Rental Property Equity/Income is King

Will Los Angeles Lead the Nation in 2017 in Real Estate?

Interest in rental income investment and apartments is particularly strong now in places like Miamic, Dallas, Seattle and San Francisco.  The Los Angeles housing, San Diego housing, San Francisco Bay Area housing markets are just a few to look at.  Seattle, Denver, Dallas, South Florida, Palm Beach, and New York  have a promising outlook too.

Short list of positive factors to bolster US Housing Market :

  1. moderately rising mortgage rates
  2. president Trump’s new tax plan
  3. low risk of a housing bubble / crash for most cities
  4. millennials buyers coming into the main home buying years
  5. a trend to government deregulation
  6. labor shortages pushing up costs of production and incomes
  7. the economy will keep going – longest positive business cycle in history

Check out the report on investments in rental property if you’re planning to buy in markets such as Los Angeles, San Francisco, San Jose, Silicon Valley, New York, Miami, Oakland, Phoenix, Seattle, Denver etc.  Buyers are still dreaming in California a good look at the San Diego Real estate market, and the Los Angeles real estate market as economic indicators, and a fresh look at mortgage rates. To be on the safe side, see this post on the likelihood of a US housing market crash in the years ahead. Looking to put your house up for sale in 2018? Find a Realtor now.

Housing Stats from NAR, Forisk, Trading Economics

These stats below are collected from top research and reporting companies including NAR, Forisk, Trading Economics, and other real estate market researchers.

 

Sharing is Good for your Social Health! 

Pass this blog post onto your friends and neighbors because they should know as much about the forecast factors as possible before they buy or sell.  It’s good to be helpful. Mistakes are painful!

Expert Predictions – US Housing 

1.  Expert Prediction from Eric Fox, vice president of statistical and economic modeling (VeroForecast) — The top forecast markets shows price appreciation in the 10% to 11% range. The top forecast market is Seattle, Washington at 11.2%, followed by Portland, Oregon at 11.1% and Denver, Colorado at 9.9%.

These economies have robust economies, growing populations and no more than two month’s supply of homes. In fact, the forecast of the Boston market increase sharply to 7.4% is due to reductions in inventory and unemployment. On the other hand, the worst performing market is Kington, New York with 2.5% depreciation, followed by Ocean City, New Jersey at -2.1%, Kingsport, Tennessee at -1.9% and Atlantic City, New Jersey and San Angelo, Texas tied at -1.4%.  — BusinessWire

2. Pantheon Macro Chief Economist Ian Shepherdson explains that “Homebuilders behavior likely is a continuing echo of their experience during the crash. No one wants to be caught with excess inventory during a sudden downshift in demand. In this cycle, the pursuit of market share and volumes is less important than profitability and balance sheet resilience.” — Marketwatch.

Can you save $1700 on Auto Insurance in one year? How about $10,000 in 6 years? That’s a lot of cash. Find out and compare auto insurance quotes.

Housing Construction Starts Will Slowly Rise

It’s predicted that new home construction won’t keep up with demand, however it is recovering and we’ll see more renters becoming homeowners over the next decade.

Car Insurance Quotes: Are you looking to save money for a down payment, save money with the lowest car insurance, find the lowest mortgage rate, or get a free market evaluation? Are you a realtor looking for US real estate leads?

 

If construction rates do moderate, prices in the hot markets of Miami, San Francisco, Los Angeles, San Diego, New York, Boston, and Phoenix should rocket to all time highs but what is the risk of a housing market crashHouse Renovation too is at an all time high in expenditure and this might have an impact on new housing starts.

FRED – Home Prices

US Mortgage Rate Trends

US Mortgage rates are forecast to stay low. Yet recently, mortgage rates have risen above the 4% mark and homeowners are locking in their home loans at the 30 year period. Some are calling this the Trump Effect. With Trump in power, lending requirements are expected to be eased, land opened up for development, and this should stimulate home purchases. With employment growing and wages moderating upward, the market is set for growth. Yet, some housing forecasters still cling to the idea that housing starts will moderate after strong growth to 2020.

mortgage-rates-trend

US Employment Outlook 2018 to 2024

According to BLS the job outlook is positive. Construction added 36,000 jobs in January, with 226,000 more than last year, with most of the increase occurring among specialty trade contractors (+26,000). Residential building construction trended up by 5,000 jobs. Total employment should grow by another 4,000,000 to 2024.

National Employment Growth Employment Growth Predictions, 2014–24 Median annual wage, 2014
2014 2024 Number Percent
Total, all occupations 150,539,000 160,328,000 9,788,900 6.5 $35,540

Job Growth by Occupation to 2026

2016 National Employment Matrix title and code (Chart data courtesy of BLS
Employment Change, 2016–26
Median annual wage 2016
2016 2026 Number Percent
Total, all occupations 156,063.80 167,582.30 11,518.60 7.4 $37,040
Personal care aides 2,016.10 2,793.80 777.6 38.6 $21,920
Combined food preparation and serving workers, including fast food 3,452.20 4,032.10 579.9 16.8 $19,440
Registered nurses 2,955.20 3,393.20 438.1 14.8 $68,450
Home health aides 911.5 1,342.70 431.2 47.3 $22,600
Software developers, applications 831.3 1,086.60 255.4 30.7 $100,080
Janitors and cleaners, except maids and housekeeping cleaners 2,384.60 2,621.20 236.5 9.9 $24,190
General and operations managers 2,263.10 2,468.30 205.2 9.1 $99,310
Laborers and freight, stock, and material movers, hand 2,628.40 2,828.10 199.7 7.6 $25,980
Medical assistants 634.4 818.4 183.9 29 $31,540
Waiters and waitresses 2,600.50 2,783.00 182.5 7 $19,990
Nursing assistants 1,510.30 1,683.70 173.4 11.5 $26,590
Construction laborers 1,216.70 1,367.10 150.4 12.4 $33,430
Cooks, restaurant 1,231.90 1,377.20 145.3 11.8 $24,140
Accountants and auditors 1,397.70 1,537.60 139.9 10 $68,150
Market research analysts and marketing specialists 595.4 733.7 138.3 23.2 $62,560
Customer service representatives 2,784.50 2,920.80 136.3 4.9 $32,300
Landscaping and groundskeeping workers 1,197.90 1,333.10 135.2 11.3 $26,320
Medical secretaries 574.2 703.2 129 22.5 $33,730
Management analysts 806.4 921.6 115.2 14.3 $81,330
Maintenance and repair workers, general 1,432.60 1,545.10 112.5 7.9 $36,940
Teacher assistants 1,308.10 1,417.60 109.5 8.4 $25,410
Financial managers 580.4 689 108.6 18.7 $121,750
Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers 1,871.70 1,980.10 108.4 5.8 $41,340
Elementary school teachers, except special education 1,410.90 1,514.90 104.1 7.4 $55,800
Stock clerks and order fillers 2,008.60 2,109.60 100.9 5 $23,840
Teachers and instructors, all other 993.9 1,091.80 98 9.9 $30,110
Receptionists and information clerks 1,053.70 1,149.20 95.5 9.1 $27,920
Sales representatives, services, all other 983 1,077.90 94.9 9.7 $52,490
Business operations specialists, all other 1,023.90 1,114.30 90.3 8.8 $69,040
Licensed practical and licensed vocational nurses 724.5 813.4 88.9 12.3 $44,090

US Housing Starts to 2024

New Housing starts and predictions to year 2024

This enlightening stat in the graphic below shows the US economy hasn’t recovered from the great recession and housing crash of 2007. Single family spending is rising rapidly, yet no one believes conditions for high inflation exist. It points to years of solid, healthy growth ahead with an unfulfilled demand for single detached homes.

 Graphic courtesy of paper-money.blogspot.ca

30 year and 15 Year Mortgage rates Graphic courtesy of paper-money.blogspot.ca

Housing and Interest Rate Forecast to 2019
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Housing Activity (000)
Total Housing Starts 928 1,001 1,107 1,177 1,204 1,246 1,299
Single Family 620 647 712 784 842 900 962
Multifamily 308 355 395 393 362 346 337
New Single Family Sales 430 440 503 561 610 647 693
Existing Single-Family Home Sales 4,475 4,338 4,627 4,828 4,978 5,029 5,119
Interest Rates
Federal Funds Rate 0.13% 0.13% 0.38% 0.63% 1.13% 1.88% 2.38%
90 day T Bill Rate 0.06% 0.03% 0.05% 0.32% 0.96% 1.71% 2.22%
Treasury Yields:
One Year Maturity 0.13% 0.12% 0.32% 0.61% 1.20% 2.41% 2.70%
Ten Year Maturity 2.35% 2.54% 2.14% 1.84% 2.38% 2.82% 3.22%
Freddie Mac Commitment Rates:
Fixed Rate Mortgages 3.98% 4.17% 3.85% 3.65% 4.10% 4.54% 4.96%
ARMs 2.88% 3.17% 2.94% 2.87% 3.18% 3.62% 4.04%
Prime Rate 3.25% 3.25% 3.26% 3.51% 4.15% 4.98% 5.48%
Data are averages of seasonally adjusted quarterly data and may not match annual

Chart stats courtesy of Nahb.com

Multifamily Home Starts - Millennial Buying Forecast

Save Money on Your Car Insurance

Saving on car might even cut your home insurance and give you more money for your home downpayment. Check now for the lowest quotes for car insurance Los Angeles, car insurance Boston, auto insurance San Francisco, auto insurance Denver, car insurance Toronto, and car insurance Chicago.

New Home Construction Prediction - Home Resales

Employment Outlook: Let’s not forget jobs. Total employed persons in the US will grow 800,000 over the next 2 years.

f4 Graphic courtesy of tradingeconomics.com/united-states/forecast

Existing homes or resale home sales, may slow slightly but US construction spending will increase. Prices will rise to 2020 and construction spending will grow through 2020.

Existing Home Sales to 2020 - Prediction to 2020 Graphic courtesy of tradingeconomics.com/united-states/forecast

Apartment Rental Forecast

Demand for apartment rentals is on the rise and construction starts of multi-unit dwellings is rising to match demand. That creates more opportunity for rental property investors to grow their portfolios in 2018. Yardi says YOY rent growth was 3.0% and they expect rent growth to remain in the 2.5% range.

Chart courtesy of RealPage

Cities with the most apartment construction include Dallas, Houston and Austin, reflecting Texas strong recovery. For more information, see this post on the best cities to buy real estate and best cities to live in and with the best job outlook.

Rental City Markets with Top Growth

Yardi released its winter national outlook report and forecasts a 2.5% increase.

There you have a quick graphical synopsis of factors that will support a strong US housing market for 4 more years.

What’s Your Personal Real Estate Sales Forecast?

Are you a full time realtor looking to grow your prospects and leads?  Full service digital marketing is a bargain when it’s done well.   What’s the forecast and trends for the real estate sales in your region? If you’re in Vancouver, Toronto, Miami, San Diego, San Francisco, and many other US centers, you’re probably grinning from ear to ear. But will you get your slice of that pie? Relying on real estate lead generation companies is another way you can go, however you have to pay forever and it’s questionable whether their leads are high quality.

My realtor marketing programs let you leverage the full mls listings with a powerful rets idx website, and capture more leads.  I’ve enjoyed serving clients in many housing markets including Toronto, Boston, Chicago, Houston, Montreal, New York, San Diego, Los Angeles, Florida, and San Francisco California.

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Housing Market Predictions 2018: Ideal climate for best real estate investing.

Bookmark this page and return for further housing market forecasts, predictions, expert opinions and market data for most major US cities including New YorkLos Angeles, Palm Beach, Miami, For Lauderdale, Orlando, Boca Raton, Wellington, Delray Beach, Boyton Beach, Phoenix, Denver, Seattle, Chicago, Boston, New York, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, Austin, St Louis, Minneapolis, Green Bay, Charlotte, Tampa,  Toronto, Vancouver, Montreal, Ottawa, Oshawa, Hamilton, Newmarket/Aurora, Richmond Hill, Oakville, Calgary, Kelowna, Mississauga, Anaheim, Beverly Hills, Malibu, San Diego, San Francisco, San Jose, Fresno, and other cities in the states of Florida, Texas, California, Massachusetts, Oregon, Washington, New York, New Jersey, North Carolina, Georgia, Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, Arizona, Nevada, Minnesota, Alaska, Hawaii, Utah, New Mexico, Lousiana, Alabama, Maryland and Pennsylvania.

Best US Cities Rated 2017

Which Are the Best US Cities to Live in?

Dreaming of a better place in US to live in 2018? You’re not alone. Millions of people think about moving to another city, but aren’t sure of which US cities hold the most promise for enjoyment, lifestyle, housing, health care, education for kids, and future job prospects.

If you were going to move anywhere in the US, which cities would you choose?  Are you ready to sell your home for the best price, use a system to find the best house, search for a great job, and finally enjoy a new lifestyle? Check out the list of best cities to live in below.




Americans are more mobile than ever, and migration has been strong to  some states such as California.  The Millennial generation in particular are more open to moving to another city to launch their careers.  And too, baby boomer retirees are looking for places to raise the quality of their lives.

It’s wise to know if your state is a dead end in terms of employment and economies.  Ask Michigan Millennials and Gen Xers if opportunity in a state can dry up. And ask Californians if high tech fortunes can draw Millennials. The answer is a resounding yes, and people will migrate to capture those jobs and other opportunity. Check the US job forecast for US Cities and the US housing market too.



However, it’s not always about an affordable retirement or great jobs. Sometimes what people want are better communities, nicer weather, and a higher quality of life. But which cities are best for combining all of these benefits?

Whatever version of a better life draws your attention, you’ll find the best cities to live in ranked below by three different organizations. If on different lists you find one city keeps popping up, you might want to drill down to find out more about it. Find out why it’s sending out good vibes and what it is that makes it so special.

And for retirees, which cities offer affordability, safety and health care?

Which are the best States to Live?

Some states have zero income tax, such as Florida and Texas, but other than that big incentive, is the attraction of a state important enough to draw you to one of its cities?




Best Cities Lists from Niche.com, BusinessInsider, and US News.

Here are the ratings of the Best US cities to live, as taken from 3 different surveys. It appears the city of Austin Texas draws a lot of votes as the best place to call home.  Why they choose Austin might be a good cue for your own rankings.

Why is Austin considered the best city in the US? It could be job prospects, climate, low cost of housing or renting, low unemployment, and short commute times. Austin is also considered somewhat of a boomtown, despite the lower price of oil which has driven the Texas economy. Texas has no state income tax which could be a big incentive for many start-ups and workers considering relocating there. The more you check out the lifestyle in Austin, the more you’ll agree, that overall, this place is perhaps the best city in the US.

City Rank   Niche.com Business Insider US News
1 Ann Arbor, MI Denver, CO Austin, TX
2 Naperville, IL Austin, TX Denver, CO
3 Arlington, VA Fayetteville, AK San Jose, CA
4 Columbia, MA Raleigh-Durham, NC Washington, DC
5 Berkeley, CA Colorado Springs, CO Fayetteville, AK
6 The Woodlands, TX Boise, Idaho Seattle, WA
7 Plano, TX Seattle, WA Raleigh and Durham, NC
8 Overland Park, KS Washington, DC Boston, MA
9 Boulder, CO San Francisco, CA Des Moines, IO
10 Irvine, CA San Jose, CA Colorado Springs, CO
11 Cambridge, MA Des Moines, IA Boise, ID
12 Richardson, TX Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN Nashville, TN
13 Bellevue, WA Grand Rapids, MI Charlotte, NC
14 Alexandria, VA Sarasota, FL Dallas Fort-Worth, TX
15 Sunnyvale, CA Charlotte, NC San Francisco, CA
16 Round Rock, TX San Diego, CA Minneapolis, MN
17 Madison, WI Houston, TX Madison, WI
18 Rochester, MN Omaha, NB Grand Rapids, MI
19 Raleigh, NC Charleston, SC Houston, TX
20 Fort Collins, CO Portland, OR Sarasota, FL
21 Columbia, MO Dallas-Fort Worth, TX San Diego, CA
22 Austin, TX Nashville, TN San Antonio, TX
23 Sandy Springs, GA San Antonio, TX Richmond, VA
24 San Francisco, CA Madison, WI Omaha, NB
25 Seattle, WA Harrisburg, PA
26 Scottsdale, AZ Honolulu, HA
27 Carlsbad,CA Salt Lake City, UT
28 College Station, TX Richmond, VA
29 Santa Clara, CA Portland, ME
30 Thousand Oaks, CA Boston MA
31 Charlotte, NC Oklahoma City, OK
32 Torrance, CA Little Rock, AK
33 Tempe, AZ Tulsa, OK
34 Charleston, SC Jacksonville, FL
35 Lincoln, NB Greenville, SC
36 Minneapolis, MN Albany, NY
37 Boise, ID Cincinnati, OH
38 Huntsville, AL Fort Myers, FL
39 San Diego, CA Winston Salem, NC
40 Lexington, KY Melbourne, FL
41 Denver, CO Albuquerque, NM
42 Omaha, NB Tampa, FL
43 St Paul, MN Indianapolis, IN
44 Provo, UT Orlando, FL
45 Pasadena, CA Louisville, KY
46 Durham, NC Columbia, SC
47 Virginia Beach, VA Pittsburgh, PA
48 Gainesville, FL Phoenix, AZ
49 Fargo, ND Kansas City, MO
50 Kansas City, KS Columbus, OH




Best Cities to Retire in the US

If you’re retiring in the next few years, you might come to a different conclusion. In that case, Albuquerque, San Diego, Sarasota, or Fayetteville NC might be to your liking. It

seems many of the favorite retirement towns are college towns in the US southeast.  Check out AARP’s list of best cities to retire in the US.

Best Cities for Graduates to Move To

The preference for college graduates to move to might be significantly different than retirees. Look for cities with the best jobs forecast for the next 5 years. Also a factor is the rental market and property investment in those locations.

There you have it, a full resource list and a ranking of the best cities in the US to live.  If you’re a graduate or retiree, good luck choosing the city that will host the next phase of your life. Have fun and live well!




Related posts: Best Cities to Buy Real Estate | Florida Housing OutlookUS Jobs Outlook | US Housing Predictions | Florida Housing | Blogging Tips | Should I Retire in Costa Rica? | Costa Rica Vacations | When Should I Sell My Home | Toronto Real Estate | New York Real Estate | San Diego Real Estate | Los Angeles Real Estate | San Francisco Real Estate | Buy Real Estate in Canada | Sell My House | Housing Market News | Auto Insurance Quotes | New Health Apps | Home Insurance Quotes

Best US Cities to Buy Rental Income Properties 2018 to 2020

Hottest Cities for Real Estate Investment 2018

Which are the Best Cities to Buy Real Estate?

It’s a rosy outlook for the housing markets in America and anyone buying real estate. Prices have moderated, new city markets are catching investor’s attention. However do you know which are the best cities to invest in real estate in 2018

Do you have a strategy to buy in the best cities, use a property management company or use property management software to run your portfolio.

You’re just about set to make 2018 a great investment year. Have you looked at the forms of property investment should you choose — rental income suites, apartment buildings, or student housing reits? Open your mind the right type of property investment in the right city will outperform everything else.




Which cities and states offer the best employment outlook, lowest taxes, regulations, large millennial population, and a pro business climate? Florida, California, Michigan, Colorado, Miami FloridaBoston, Bay Area, New York , Massachusetts, or is it Ohio and Michigan?

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The most recent update on hot investment cities (average profit US-wide was at $336,000) for sellers still has San Francisco as the tops.  And San Francisco Sunnyvale San Jose might be tops due to high rental prices, lack of housing and land, silicon valley paychecks, and an improving economy means there’s no bubble and no crash possible.

But the Bay Area isn’t the only city with potential.  Dallas, Houston, Austin, San Antonio and Fort Worth are getting special attention these days. Texas is growing. Michigan has huge potential. Even Boston has potential. Businesses are relocating to these cities for a lot of reasons.

In this era of investment, the best property investments may be in other cities. Even if you intend to stay close to home, knowing what’s going on in other states might provide a superior return on investment.

As you may have read in my very popular post on US Housing Predictions for 2018 to 2020, the US housing market is hot and some cities are hotter than others. No housing crash is forecasted. The list below of the top 80 cities to invest in real estate represent your best opportunities for high returns. Even normally depressed quiet markets are coming to life and beginning to catch investor’s eyes. It’s good news for Michigan, Florida, California, Texas, and New York and even better for real estate investors in 2018.

Record Demand for Home, Condo and Apartment Rentals

The difference in this latest real estate rebound is the number of Americans renting and still needing to rent a home or condo.  That’s created the incredible income investment opportunity called rental income investment properties for passive income investments or self-managed property investments. 30% to 40% returns are not unheard of. It’s once in a lifetime wealth building. The kind of cap rates major investors can only dream of. Get some tips on how to do homes for sale searching better.

Just an aside on investment opportunities in condo/apartments is student housing investment in Vancouver. You may want to check out the underlying fundamentals and demand for student housing.

Scorching hot opportunity in the best cities! Will the hot markets of San Francisco, San Jose, Silicon Valley, Phoenix, and Los Angeles do as well as expected? Those cities with the highest home prices are not your only option. There’s plenty more towns and cities across the nation where you can buy rock bottom and sell high including this list of real estate by zip code.  Cities you’ll read about below with lower home prices and rising employment rates may be your best bets for 2017 to 2020.

One high performing rental income related opportunity to investigate is student housing investment in Vancouver. The student housing market in Vancouver is like no other place. Foreign families like Vancouver BC in Canada for many reasons. And the Canadian government is raising the limits on foreign students and on post grad immigration.  That means lots of demand coupled with high rents which translates to big profits. A company called CIBT has dominated this sector and is growing fast. You can invest with them like a REIT.

 

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Make sure others learn about the once in a lifetime opportunity in real estate investment with rental properties.

With strong economic growth as certainly continuing, rental income investment offers multiple ways to grow revenue. And your property may look even better to another investor when you sell. Lets see what the experts predict and what the stats say about the best cities and zip codes.




Renter Statistics:

  • Growth in rental demand was largest for people with incomes lower than $25,000; a group that accounted for four million new renters over the past decade.
  • Growth for people with household incomes over $50,000 accounted for 3.3 million new renters.
  • There was an increase of 1.6 million renters for those with incomes over $100,000 a year.
  • The amount of rental stock also grew, and the single-family house share of the market increased from 34-40% of the total rental stock
  • Vacancy rate was less than 5%  in 75% of the United States largest cities by 2015. 

Stats courtesy of go.homebay

Apartment and Single Family Home Rental Price Index
Price Index Screenshot courtesy of AMERICA’S RENTAL HOUSING: Expanding Options for Diverse and Growing Demand

Houses for Sale – The Ultimate Home Search Source

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Skyrocketing Home and Rental Prices in California are a Continuing Allure for Investors

In major urban areas such as San Francisco, Los Angeles, Oakland, Boston and New York, the demand for rental properties is skyrocketing. Investors might see ROI of 30% or more on rental income property and that beats any stock market these days.

Foreign buyers too, are purchasing lower priced homes now, likely because of high prices on luxury homes along with the fact they can rent them out — passive income which is a hot topic for babyboomers in particular. Realtors are seeing a much different type of buyer today and they need to keep up on how competitive properties are in other cities in the US and Canada.  Investors just want a great return.

Home prices are rising everywhere, but what makes San Francisco so hot is its lack of housing stock and a booming job market. Where there is little growth in new housing development together with a healthy job market and a good demographic (millennials who can’t buy) the demand for rental housing has to explode.




percapitasanfrancisoExperts try to explain away this demand by blaming speculators and high housing prices, yet the driver of rental demand in San Fran is too many employed people with nowhere to live. And wages are rising. Silicon Valley’s rental market is so tight, there’s an overflow to Sacramento and other inland cities.

In-migration has been strong at a time when millennials are leaving home, contributing to rocketing apartment and home rental costs. This is fueling the tremendous demand for investment income properties. With no one building new homes and the government not acting to help, it’s up to private investors to take the helm.

With crazy high ROI, we’ll see rental income investors and developers race into these regions to build new properties. It’s a great investment situation for Americans, investors and realtors.




San Francisco is one area however that might not benefit. Its strong economy is driven by large tech corporations that add value to imported technology and products manufactured in China. Which is why Silicon Valley is hostile to Trump. California’s economic outlook is still very bright, but it’s low potential rental income outlook could send investors over to other US cities to invest in, such as those in green areas in the charts below.

Rental Income Property Investment Opportunities

With or without Trump, the US economic outlook is good. The outlook for rental income property is exceptional. Realtors and investment advisors should be looking hard at this market. Even babyboomer investors are looking at the potential of retirement income. Many babyboomers are a little nervous about how they’ll fund their “stay put” retirement plans.

They’ll need extra income to stay put and revamp their home over the next 30 years, and they may look to rental income to get that money.  A percentage may just sell their home and leave it to a developer/investor to turn it into the multi-family unit. That investor might be you.

Here’s Realty Trac’s outlook on the best US cities to invest for rental property income

usheatmap-rental-roi

Complicating your investment decision is another set of statistics from Realty Trac that shows the west still has the highest returns currently but the green zones are predicted to perform better.

best-rental-income-cities
Screen capture Courtesy of Realty Trac

How about a 32% Yield on a Single Family Home?

best-rental-income-cities-by-revenue

(Screenshot above courtesy of RealtyTrac single family rental market reports)



Top 80 Cities and their Potential for Passive Rental Income ROI

These converted stats in this chart from Smart Assets are very insightful. They used U.S. Census data, to calculate the price-to-rent ratio in every U.S. city with a population over 250,000. This is their list of 80 US cities below with the worst potential for rental property income investment appearing at the top (The ones at bottom such as Detroit have better potential, unless employment fails to recover in Michigan).

US Cities with Population above 250k Price-to-Rent Ratio

Home Price

(for a $1,000 Rental)

1 San Francisco, California 45.9 551000
2 Honolulu, Hawaii 40.1 481000
3 Oakland, California 38.5 462000
4 Los Angeles, California 38.0 456000
5 New York, New York 35.7 428000
6 Seattle, Washington 35.1 421000
7 San Jose, California 34.7 417000
8 Long Beach, California 34.6 415000
9 Washington, District of Columbia 32.0 384000
10 Anaheim, California 31.3 375000
11 San Diego, California 30.3 363000
12 Portland, Oregon 29.3 351000
13 Boston, Massachusetts 28.7 344000
14 Jersey City, New Jersey 26.3 316000
15 Denver, Colorado 26.0 312000
16 Chula Vista, California 25.8 310000
17 Santa Ana, California 25.3 303000
18 Sacramento, California 24.3 291000
19 Miami, Florida 23.4 280000
20 Austin, Texas 23.4 280000
21 Atlanta, Georgia 23.0 276000
22 Colorado Springs, Colorado 22.8 274000
23 Bakersfield, California 22.5 270000
24 Raleigh, North Carolina 22.4 269000
25 Riverside, California 22.4 268000
26 Lexington, Kentucky 22.0 264000
27 Albuquerque, New Mexico 21.9 263000
28 Chicago, Illinois 21.6 259000
29 Henderson, Nevada 21.6 259000
30 Chandler, Arizona 21.5 257000
31 New Orleans, Louisiana 21.4 256000
32 Virginia Beach, Virginia 21.1 253000
33 Fresno, California 21.0 252000
34 Newark, New Jersey 21.0 251000
35 Minneapolis, Minnesota 21.0 252000
36 Anchorage, Alaska 20.9 251000
37 Phoenix, Arizona 20.3 244000
38 Louisville, Kentucky 20.1 241000
39 St. Paul, Minnesota 20.0 239000
40 Plano, Texas 19.9 239000
41 Stockton, California 19.5 234000
42 Durham, North Carolina 19.5 233000
43 Las Vegas, Nevada 19.3 232000
44 Nashville, Tennessee 19.1 230000
45 Greensboro, North Carolina 19.1 229000
46 Mesa, Arizona 19.1 229000
47 Lincoln, Nebraska 19.1 229000
48 Oklahoma City, Oklahoma 19.1 229000
49 Wichita, Kansas 18.4 221000
50 Charlotte, North Carolina 18.1 217000
51 Cincinnati, Ohio 18.0 216000
52 Aurora, Colorado 18.0 216000
53 Kansas City, Missouri 17.4 209000
54 Tulsa, Oklahoma 17.2 206000
55 Omaha, Nebraska 16.7 200000
56 St. Louis, Missouri 16.7 200000
57 Orlando, Florida 16.6 199000
58 Tampa, Florida 16.6 199000
59 Tucson, Arizona 16.3 196000
60 Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 16.3 196000
61 Dallas, Texas 16.2 194000
62 Laredo, Texas 15.9 191000
63 Columbus, Ohio 15.9 190000
64 St. Petersburg, Florida 15.8 189000
65 Fort Wayne, Indiana 15.5 186000
66 Baltimore, Maryland 15.5 186000
67 Arlington, Texas 15.5 186000
68 El Paso, Texas 15.4 185000
69 Indianapolis, Indiana 15.4 184000
70 Houston, Texas 15.3 183000
71 Fort Worth, Texas 14.8 177000
72 Jacksonville, Florida 14.3 172000
73 Milwaukee, Wisconsin 14.2 170000
74 San Antonio, Texas 13.7 164000
75 Toledo, Ohio 13.3 159000
76 Corpus Christi, Texas 13.1 158000
77 Memphis, Tennessee 12.3 147000
78 Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 12.0 144000
79 Buffalo, New York 10.7 128000
80 Cleveland, Ohio 10.5 126000
81 Detroit, Michigan 6.3 75000




What About the Local Economies?

Last year’s report from Millken research reveals the cities with the best performing economies in 2015. This was put out in December 2016.  Florida cities are showing a marked rise. Recent reports focus on the apartment rental prices in San Francisco, Sacramento, and San Jose as offering outstanding returns for investors.

best-us-city-economies-ranking

And this is Millken’s list of worst performing cities, likely the ones you might avoid.

worst-us-city-economies-ranking

Screenshot courtesy of Millken Institute. Read the detailed  Millken 2015 Best-Performing Cities report with rankings by economic component. Excellent insight to help you fine tune your rental income property investment choices.

Their interactive map of US cities with the best economies below is a very helpful tool to help you measure the investment prospects of one city versus another.

Lowest car insurance in these cities: LA car insurance, Boston auto insurance, Phoenix car insurance, San Francisco car insurance, San Diego car insurance, Seattle car insurance, New York car insurance, Indianapolis car insurance, Detroit car insurance, Philadelphia auto insurance, Toronto automobile insurance, or Chicago car insurance.

In this video below, Mike Hambright talks about apartment rental markets, and how to make money from cash flow and property value appreciation.




Are There any Warnings?

This graphic from Coreglogic warns about overheated city markets. Yet it also shows how markets like Silicon Valley, actually has lots of room for rent rate growth. And New York has the lowest rent rate to home price ratio.

Screenshot courtesy of Corelogic.com

There are so many real estate investment opportunities in the US and in Canada too. Hopefully, my amateur US housing forecasts, predictions and unguaranteed advice will help you find those opportunities for the best upside in cash flow, safety and equity appreciation. Be careful with any investment. Do your due diligence.

If you’re a realtor or real estate investor in Los Angeles, San Francisco, San Diego, Toronto, San Jose, Seattle, Chicago, Boston, New York, or Miami consider my Digital Marketing Services to help you build your realtor brand and and leverage the best sources of real estate leads.  Property investors from around the world are looking to buy. Because I’m an SEO specialist, I can generate real estate leads much more proficiently than lead generation companies. I can help you build a compelling unique value proposition and the highest exposure possible to homeowners and buyers across the US and Canada.  Let’s get your goals accomplished.

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