Foreign Exchange

Bitcoin Price Forecast

Bitcoin Price Outlook

Cryptocurrency began to draw a lot of speculative investor attention beginning last November. Crypto, Bitcoin, Ethereum and Dogecoin are all unregulated and speculative investments. Buyer beware.

And on the road to legitimacy stands the mighty Elon Musk who supports and disclaims crypto on a monthly basis it seems. If crypto needs billionaire support, we wonder if it’s legit.

Regardless, from day stock trading speculators to banks to self-directed stock enthusiasts, the demand for BitCoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin and other cryptos has been very brisk. Of course, the joke currency Dogecoin (Dog e Coin) got slapped on by Elon Musk.

Almost vertical on the charts and if more investors take the leap, the price might hit the heights forecasted below. Last week, the prices plunged, but they’re recovering and crypto investors are hoping they might hold their value going forward.

Buying cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Dogecoin and Ethereum is so inviting, institutional investors are withdrawing funds from the stock market and moving them into the Cryptocurrency markets.

Should you invest in Cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Dogecoin, or Ethereum? A lot of investors feel a fear of missing out on the mighty climb of prices, but are they more likely to lose their shirts than make money?

This weeks massive drops which removed $20 billion in market capitalization has made investors a little more cautious about investing in Bitcoin. Cryptocurrency has never really endured a major crash of value, so will investors panic if a major slide begins? The test may be coming.

There’s little doubt that cryptocurrency will become a legitimate and trusted storage of value and financial medium.

Live CryptoCurrency Quotes from TradingView

The banks and Billionaires are buying Bitcoin, so they’re hopping on board. There are thousands of cryptocurrencies, and in a crash, they will likely succumb, but Bitcoin and Ethereum may be okay.

Yet, crypto is insecure and speculative so investors need stomachs of steel to endure the journey coming. Bitcoin was cheap before, but it isn’t now. Interestingly it’s the lesser lights such as XRP, Polygon and Solana that are attracting buyers. Some critics have said Bitcoin will never be accepted, which turns our eyes to technologies that might work.  And what’s at issue isn’t how much electricity the systems use but rather how currency manipulating governments will live with it.

The Bitcoin forecast is bright but it’s mostly speculation that’s made it jump 8 times it’s value for Ethereum to jump 500%. One thing for sure, Crypto and Bitcoin have been a hot price pace since last November.

Screenshot courtesy of Coingecko.com

What’s Driving Bitcoin and Etherium Valuations?

  • desire to evade banking system regulations
  • desire to eliminate fiat currency exchange fees
  • desire to end international money laundering
  • desire to speed up international trade payments thus improving trade
  • even if the US, Japan or Europe reject Bitcoin and crypto, there are plenty of countries who will embrace it

Yet Bitcoin may have plenty of negative side effects such as lack of regulations, criminal hacking, lack of ability to fix errors, no customer service, rising service fees, lost financial sovereignty, lost keys, etc.

Those diving into cryptocurrency might be idealistic and care not to see the downside which is certain to show up at the worst time. They haven’t stopped to consider how something could jump 8 times its value with no earnings statement to back it up.

Bitcoin Price Today May 18, 2021

Bitcoin BTC Price today. Screenshot courtesy of Google Finance.

It’s hard to invest in something that is so mysterious and hyped. So let’s take a deeper, common sense look without the jargon and smoke screen details to get clarity.

Speculative Currencies

The astonishing rise of the price of Bitcoin this past year has shocked a lot of investors, economists and government leaders. Is the rise of Bitcoin cryptocurrency a serious opportunity for investors, or is a fool’s paradise?

Currency traders lose millions in forex trades and they have to write off the losses. The CEO of a crypto company in Turkey left the country with it’s $2 Billion after Turkey banned cryptocurrency. They haven’t found him yet.

Some forecasters predict Bitcoin will hit $100,000 in future and one prognosticator believes it will reach $500,000 in 2030. Another says $1,000,000 by 2037. See what a host of experts on BitCoinprice.com are predicting.

Only 21 Million Were Sold Originally

Only 21 million Bitcoins were produced. It’s hit $60,000 per coin already out of thin air, 8 times its value of recent, so $100k is hardly impossible. How can you limit forecasts of such speculative assets in a euphoric era? These people making predictions never explain why they believe in these lofty prices.

But the higher it goes, the more risk is presented, especially to the shaky overindebted US economy and an army of small retail investors. But if Bitcoin (and Etherium) do become the defacto international currency, will there be a fire sale on US Dollars?

Honestly, the downside during this market bubble is so scary, it’s difficult to understand why government officials aren’t warning investors about Bitcoin. India has applied an emphatic ban, obviously wise in a developing country where catastrophic losses would hurt.

Have the global stimulus payments simply transitioned into cryptocurrencies? Are they a safe haven once stimulus ends?

By 2023, when stimulus fades, taxes rise, interest rates grow, and foreclosures on million dollar homes begin, investors will sell their cheapening US dollars, but will they gamble on cryptocurrency? How would a forecaster know the outcome?

There’s a lot of investor psychology and euphoria involved in Bitcoin valuation. But when bubble’s burst, all assets have traditionally crashed too. And gold is no haven but then perhaps this is where everyone is headed.

One expert says cryptos are most in trouble after a very steep price climb. Of course, there’s nothing to levitate its price. Etherium’s Joseph Lubin, co-founder of Ethereum pointed out that fraud is rampant in development with grab and cancel outcomes on projects. Several years ago, $300 million in Etherium as apparently deleted by mistake. And the creator of Etherium, Vitalik Buterin, the creator of Ethers was only 19 when he invented this system, and government regulators and investigators haven’t scrutinized the security of Etherium.

Elon Musk and Cathi Woods Purchases

Both Elon Musk of Tesla and Cathie Wood of Ark Investments have wholeheartedly given Bitcoin a vote of confidence. You can buy a Tesla with Bitcoin now. Wood has purchased half a billion of Bitcoin and Musk/Tesla bought about 1.5 billion of Bitcoin.

Despite their exuberance about Bitcoin, too many financial people are overlooking the potential risk of full adoption of Bitcoin and reliance on it within the business and investment community. This has to be researched more thoroughly.

Experts need to clarify the outcomes. Governments will have to regulate cryptocurrency, and that rumor is what sent Bitcoin crashing yesterday.

Bitcoin Valuation

The valuation of Bitcoin is so ethereal and speculative, that it seems impossible that anyone could put forth a Bitcoin price forecast. But you’re bound to find a few predictions. In the short term, they may be relevant, and at worst insightful. Every speck of insight helps but there’s big picture factors that actually dictate where Bitcoin will be in the next 5 years.

This crypto enthusiast (CryptosRUs) talks about CNBC’s chart master gaff where he suggests to sell during a big breakout of Bitcoin last fall, at $20,000. Of course, it kept rising to $60,000 per bitcoin! History tells us nothing other than the folly of trying to predict Bitcoin’s price without more data, and without knowing when the US President might put the Kibosh on it.

Cryptocurrency models suggest that Bitcoin is finite, and the 21 million bitcoins that exist are simply priced upward due to supply and demand mechanics. Yet, there are other cryptocurrencies, flooding the market with currency. What if they surge or fail? Does this change the Bitcoin price valuation outlook?

What Will Governments and the Big Banks Do?

Do the big banks like Crypto? Do they care which type of currency account holders and mortgagees use? Would they accept payment in Bitcoin? Reports are that banks around the world are considering supporting cryptocurrency payments and buying Bitcoin.

Back in January, the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) issued a letter approving U.S. banks to use public blockchain networks. And that sent many of cryptos soaring in price. So government action when it happens can significantly affect price valuations and have to be considered in Bitcoin forecasts.

Globalist investors don’t care about the survival of a US, Japanese or European economy, but those respective governments and their citizens do care. The uncontrollability of cryptocurrency is a big negative that isn’t factored into Bitcoin’s price yet.

Those opinions of Bitcoin and the volume of stimulus money spilling out into markets at any one date, could be all you have reference to.

Bitcoin and other currencies are treated as a store of financial value in contrast to major currencies, stocks, gold, diamonds, commodities, etc. Some investors believe Bitcoin will replace the dollar, but can the US economy base itself on a currency it doesn’t control? That is really risky.

But while we understand the value of real, finite assets, Bitcoin is more of a digital world currency and it isn’t controlled by governments we elected, and who represent our best interests. Currencies are actually representations of their governments and economies so does cryptocurrency threaten these social and legal organizations?

The amount of electrical power and computing power needed to operate cryptocurrency storage and exchange is frightening. In an age of eco-sensitivity, it makes little sense to choose Bitcoin. If Bitcoin becomes the financial world’s currency, is there enough electricity to run the Bitcoin system?

It’s these issues that will persistently cloud the Bitcoin price forecast, among other issues.

International Risks

Although cryptocurrency is lauded as an Internet currency, investors have lost huge amounts when they lost their “key” an identifier for their coins. Cryptocurrencies may not have any advantage over traditional currencies in financial transactions or retail purchases. Although a few consumers have opened Bitcoin accounts, they are basically competing with dollars and lack a substantial benefit.

Could crytocurrency accelerate global inequities between trillionaires and growing hoards of penniless masses? This will be looked at shortly too and likely will send Bitcoin values downward. And do banks and governments really understand cryptocurrency? If a government were to suddenly lose all its cryptocurrency, how would that effect its economy and tax base?

I would classify Bitcoin as a competitor for the US dollar, Euro and Yen currencies. Who decides how much Bitcoin exists and is that amount in circulation sensible and sensitive to real world economic conditions?

We’ve seen two big pullback’s on Bitcoin’s price recently and we’re wondering if we’re about to see a bigger Bitcoin price crash? If the stock market crashes, will cryptocurrencies fall with it?

If institutional investors get the jitters and begin pulling out of the cryptocurrency, will we see it drop to $20k as Guggenheim’s advisor believes it will. If governments come to the conclusion that cryptocurrencies are a threat to country’s currency valuations and that reliance on cryptocurrency is extremely risky, will that bring an axe down on Bitcoin, Coinbase and Dogecoin.

Price Momentum?

What is the reason Ethereum’s price is rising while other coins are falling? There’s a lot going in on cryptocurrency markets and investors are keenly interested in the Bitcoin price forecast and the outlook for cryptocurrency.

After his Bitcoin price prediction of $146,000, JPMorgan Managing Director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou noted the falling price for and he feels concern. Experts feel the momentum that drove the price to $60,000 might end and thus send it back the other way.

If Bitcoin’s price is all about momentum, then certainly any cessation of investor demand and price growth would be concerning. What is the core reason investors have bought Bitcoin? If it’s pure speculation, then a crash has to be imminent. There is so much liquidity in the economy and markets, and cryptocurrency is part of it.

Is cryptocurrency as desirable or secure as the US dollar or Japanese Yen? What will the battle between the currency formats be like? If the stock market and housing market should crash in the next 24 months, will Bitcoin keep its value, or will it be the first asset to be sold?

As you can see Bitcoin’s recent huge price started during the pandemic. Is this due to government stimulus efforts and retail investors enjoying a speculative opportunity? Or is there a significant purpose for cryptocurrency in our modern economy?

Now that investors have sunk $2 trillion into cryptocurrencies and much of that total in Bitcoin itself, it has to be taken seriously. If Bitcoin collapses, where will those funds head to next?

If you want to invest in the Cryptocurrency craze, you can avoid Bitcoin and instead buy into Cryptocurrency ETFs. And you can buy Coinbase stock as it’s simply a transaction vehicle and a wallet to store your cryptocurrency.

Note:  The statements and information presented in this post is not intended as professional investment advice. It is solely an exploration of Cryptocurrency investing and the risks, perils, and behavior of stock markets and the economy. No one should rely on a single source of information or investing professional’s advice.  The overall message of the post might be to diversify stock, currencies, real estate, and cash/gold holdings as a hedge against stock market crashes.  Investors should look into hedging strategies but be aware that even hedging may provide limited protection from a crash.

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